Economic forecasts. Latest is January 28, 2018. Prediction of 2018 House vote- January 28, 2018. Predictions for 2016: Post-Mortem December 14, 2016. Book and data for teaching. Ranking Assumption for 2016 Presidential,. Senate, and House elections. Post-Mortem December 21, 2016. Aging in Sports and Chess. Age Graded Scores Available.
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Ray C. Fair | fairmodel.econ.yale.edu Reviews
https://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu
Economic forecasts. Latest is January 28, 2018. Prediction of 2018 House vote- January 28, 2018. Predictions for 2016: Post-Mortem December 14, 2016. Book and data for teaching. Ranking Assumption for 2016 Presidential,. Senate, and House elections. Post-Mortem December 21, 2016. Aging in Sports and Chess. Age Graded Scores Available.
fairmodel.econ.yale.edu
Ray C. Fair
https://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/rayfair/index.htm
National Journal Q and A.
Econ 116
https://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/ec116/index.htm
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. US Bureau of Econommic Analysis (BEA). US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Hard Times Come Again No More.
The Ranking Assumption in 2012 using Intrade Data and in 2014 using Upshot, 538, and PredictWise data
https://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/vote2012/inrank.htm
Post Mortem for the 2014 Senate Elections: November 5, 2014. PredictWise had NC ranked above NH (below). Given that the Democrats lost NC, the ranking assumption says that they should also have lost NH, which they did not. So the ranking assumption made one error using the PredictWise ranking. The Ranking Assumption in 2014 using Upshot, 538, and PredictWise Data. The paper, Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of Elections. They win every state ranked above state i. November 4, 2014, 6:00 am. The fin...
Vote-Share Equations: November 2014 Update
https://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/vote2016/index2.htm
Vote-Share Equations: November 2014 Update. The paper, Presidential and Congressional Vote-Share Equations: November 2014 Update. Discusses the November 2014 update of the vote-share equations. Forecasts for 2016 are also made. This discussion assumes that the paper, Presidential and Congressional Vote-Share Equations. American Journal of Political Science. January 2009, 55-72, has been read. Compute your own prediction:. July 29, 2016, comment:. I have been asked whether I believe any of this? The Octob...
Macroeconometric Modeling
https://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/mmm1.htm
The main reference for the macroeconomic part of this site is. You can click to any section within the Table of Contents. You can also click to various links. When you return from a link, you will return to the beginning of the Table of Contents of the main document. If you want to work with the US and MCI models or examine the latest forecasts, go to. Work with the US and MCI Models. If you want to download the Fair-Parke (FP) program and the US and MCI Model files that go with the FP program, go to.
TOTAL PAGES IN THIS WEBSITE
8
Software
http://www.principlesofforecasting.com/index.php/software
Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Multi-round surveys of experts where anonymous feedback on the groups' responses and on reasoning is provided to the experts after each round. Delphi software user guide. In the form of PowerPoint slides with voiceover intrstructions originally developed to instruct participants in an experiment. To around 150 programs, some of which are free, and links to relatedt sites which evaluate software. Forecast Package for R. From Hyndman, Koehler, Snyder and Grose.
Det Progressiva USA : Intressant bok: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things
http://lennart.blogspot.com/2004/08/intressant-bok-predicting-presidential.html
En Webkrönika och Wiki om teknologi och politik från Silicon Valley. Fredag, augusti 13, 2004. Intressant bok: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things. Bok om hur man förutsäger vem som skall vinna amerikanska presidentval baserad på sociologiska och statistiska faktorer. Är lärare vid Yale-universitetet. Länk till Intressant bok: Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things. Posted by Lennart @ fredag, augusti 13, 2004. Comments: Skicka en kommentar. Visa hela min profil.
http://www
http://www.jai-tech.com/booksUrl.html
Http:/ www.dania-jai-alai.com. Http:/ www.jaialai.com. Http:/ www.orlandojaialai.com. Http:/ www.fla-gaming.com/miami. Newport Jai-Alai Sports Theater. Http:/ bermuda.newtonline.com/nja. Http:/ www.ocalajaialai.com. Http:/ www.jaialai.net. Http:/ www.geocities.com/Colosseum/Sideline/7480. Http:/ www.lottonet.com. Http:/ www.lottery.state.mn.us. Http:/ www.nyra.com. Http:/ www.ebay.com. Http:/ www.baseball-reference.com. Http:/ www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/sbstats.htm. Http:/ www.nba.com.
Athletic senior: How fast do running and swimming records drop with age?
http://athleticsenior.blogspot.com/2009/12/how-fast-do-running-and-swimming.html
Toward physical excellence - for older people who are serious about fitness and training. Tuesday, December 15, 2009. How fast do running and swimming records drop with age? Yale economist and marathon runner Ray Fair. Has analyzed record data in running and swimming to estimate the rate at which our ability drops with age. As you see below, records decline at a relatively steady rate between the ages of 35 and 70-75, then the rate of decline picks up rapidly. Or use his online calculators to make your o...
Software
http://www.forecastingprinciples.com/index.php/software
Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Multi-round surveys of experts where anonymous feedback on the groups' responses and on reasoning is provided to the experts after each round. Delphi software user guide. In the form of PowerPoint slides with voiceover intrstructions originally developed to instruct participants in an experiment. To around 150 programs, some of which are free, and links to relatedt sites which evaluate software. Forecast Package for R. From Hyndman, Koehler, Snyder and Grose.
images on the fly: Sites using fly
http://fly.gleeson.net/outthere.html
Fly: Fly on the web. A selection of web sites using fly:. W3Perl: Web stats analyzer. Syracuse OnLine Weather Station. Inner Sphere Cartography Society. Australian Nature Conservation Reserves Place Finder. Modelling Crop Response to Potassium. Modelling Crop Response to Nitrogen. Thorbjoern Ravn Andersen ravn@amrose.spo.dk has created a clever cgi wrapper. That allows you to encode the fly script into the URL for an image. Orbits of Mira's System. Museum Victoria BioInformatics Database Access.
Defunct Economics: February 2009
http://econowonk.blogspot.com/2009_02_01_archive.html
8220;The ideas of economists and political philosophers, both when they are right and when they are wrong, are more powerful than is commonly understood. Indeed the world is ruled by little else. Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist.” - John Maynard Keynes. Wednesday, February 25, 2009. State of the Nation - Final Thoughts. And The Political Brain. Both are worth the time. Honestly, if I had to write a p...
Nicola Viegi Links
http://www.nviegi.net/links/index.htm
Economic debates and current economic research. Paul Krugman's Blog worth reading any day. Open Economy Macroeconomics Resources. Brian Doyle's New Open Economy Macroeconomics Homepage. Gianluca Benigno, Pierpaolo Benigno and Fabio Ghironi's Monetary Policy Rules in Open Economies. Joseph Joyce's International Financial Institutions Research Site at Wellesley College. A link to a link should be called a metalink, I suppose. Access to Journals, etc.:. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics.
TelecomsPortal: Your single source for telecoms information
http://www.telecomsportal.com/links_eco.html
Powered by FreeFind.com. 149; Add link. 149; Update link. 149; Contact us. Sources of Economic Data. Http:/ www.africandevelopmentbank.com. Http:/ www.adb.org. Http:/ www.caribank.org. European Bank for Reconstruction and Development EBRD. Http:/ www.ebrd.com. Http:/ europa.eu.int/comm/dg1a/index.htm. EU in Brussels, UK rep. Http:/ ukrep.fco.gov.uk. Http:/ www.eib.org. Inter-Agency Procurement Services Office. Http:/ www.iapso.org. Http:/ www.iadb.org. International Monetary Fund Directory.
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Ray C. Fair
Economic forecasts. Latest is January 28, 2018. Prediction of 2018 House vote- January 28, 2018. Predictions for 2016: Post-Mortem December 14, 2016. Book and data for teaching. Ranking Assumption for 2016 Presidential,. Senate, and House elections. Post-Mortem December 21, 2016. Aging in Sports and Chess. Age Graded Scores Available.
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