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Deduced Reckoning | Musing mainly on economics, finance and investingMusing mainly on economics, finance and investing
http://bandsma.wordpress.com/
Musing mainly on economics, finance and investing
http://bandsma.wordpress.com/
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Deduced Reckoning | Musing mainly on economics, finance and investing | bandsma.wordpress.com Reviews
https://bandsma.wordpress.com
Musing mainly on economics, finance and investing
bandsma.wordpress.com
April | 2009 | Deduced Reckoning
https://bandsma.wordpress.com/2009/04
April 24, 2009. Losing a little on my S&P 500 short today. 8212; bandsma @ 9:34 am. News flow today is slightly positive. But I’m still confident in my short S&P 500 call. I’m starting to get email in my inbox from various brokers telling me what to buy into a recovery so I think that’s a pretty solid late cycle indicator. April 23, 2009. Is China buying metals instead of US Treasuries? Filed under: Global Trade. 8212; bandsma @ 11:58 pm. A problem with this would be where to store it for one. The ot...
May | 2009 | Deduced Reckoning
https://bandsma.wordpress.com/2009/05
May 29, 2009. A few notes from a luncheon with Prof. Stiglitz. 8212; bandsma @ 3:12 pm. These are some rough notes I took from a talk given by Professor Joseph E. Stiglitz. Yesterday at a private event. Though I’m sure it wasn’t anything he hasn’t said elsewhere. I would have to agree with him on almost everything. In fact I anticipated almost everything he said simply because I reference the same data and have the exact same interpretations. This downturn is not like others in that there is no room for ...
Financial markets, to regulate or not | Deduced Reckoning
https://bandsma.wordpress.com/2009/06/17/financial-markets-to-regulate-or-not
June 17, 2009. Financial markets, to regulate or not. 8212; bandsma @ 4:18 pm. Using the medical analogy for central bank intervention and monetary policy we are probably at the point where we are moving past bloodletting but certainly no where near the equivalent of modern medicine. Just because we don’t have it quite right yet doesn’t mean that we won’t eventually get there nor should we give up the goal of making a more stable economic system. Leave a Comment ». Feed for comments on this post.
March | 2009 | Deduced Reckoning
https://bandsma.wordpress.com/2009/03
March 31, 2009. Now is not a good time to go to business school. 8212; bandsma @ 4:41 pm. Because of the weak job market in financial services and other related fields business schools are seeing increasing enrollment while the demand for MBA graduates is permanently going down as the financial services industry will likely go back to around a normalized 4% of GDP from today’s unsustainable 8%. March 29, 2009. NYT Headline – G.M. Chief Quits After Pressure From Administration. 8212; bandsma @ 11:01 pm.
I wish there was a 24-hour Charlie Rose channel | Deduced Reckoning
https://bandsma.wordpress.com/2009/06/11/i-wish-there-was-a-24-hour-charlie-rose-channel
June 11, 2009. I wish there was a 24-hour Charlie Rose channel. 8212; bandsma @ 2:58 pm. I don’t know what the magic formula is but the conversations on Charlie Rose just go to a whole nutha’ level. It’s especially surprising considering that Bill Moyers, who wears his biases on his sleeve, claims to have “discovered” him and helped him establish his program. Leave a Comment ». Feed for comments on this post. Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Enter your comment here. Email (Address never made public).
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Semyon: The real cause of the financial crisis
http://semyondukach.blogspot.com/2009/01/real-cause-of-financial-crisis.html
Saturday, January 10, 2009. The real cause of the financial crisis. An MIT Blackjack Team perspective. The mathematics of probability that govern the trade-offs of risk and reward are fundamentally counter-intuitive. Of course there's a catch that few people notice. When the unlikely one in a thousand event happens and you do lose ten in a row, the actual amount that you've lost is over $100,000, all risked to win a mere hundred bucks. You might not have any way of doubling up again. You migh...But many ...
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Deduced Reckoning | Musing mainly on economics, finance and investing
June 30, 2009. 8212; bandsma @ 4:00 pm. A few data points that indicate the market has topped out:. Equity issuances at a record high. Highest correlation between markets on record. Global trade continues to decline. June 26, 2009. 8212; bandsma @ 12:22 pm. Three things he said that made sense to me:. Oil has moved three standard deviations away from natural gas. Oil is moving primarily as an inflation hedge by Wall Street. Oil inventories are at a historically high level. I expect that we will see more ...
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