bias123.com bias123.com

bias123.com

Bias123

Ldquo;because cognitive bias needs a field guide”. Confusion of the inverse. Insensitivity to sample bias. Insensitivity to sample size.

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PAGE TITLE
Bias123 | bias123.com Reviews
<META>
DESCRIPTION
Ldquo;because cognitive bias needs a field guide”. Confusion of the inverse. Insensitivity to sample bias. Insensitivity to sample size.
<META>
KEYWORDS
1 1 representativeness
2 base rate neglect
3 birthday paradox
4 causal conjunction fallacy
5 clustering illusion
6 conjunction fallacy
7 conservatism
8 dilution effect
9 disjunction fallacy
10 false positive paradox
CONTENT
Page content here
KEYWORDS ON
PAGE
1 representativeness,base rate neglect,birthday paradox,causal conjunction fallacy,clustering illusion,conjunction fallacy,conservatism,dilution effect,disjunction fallacy,false positive paradox,gambler's fallacy,hot hand fallacy,illusion of control
CONTENT-TYPE
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Bias123 | bias123.com Reviews

https://bias123.com

Ldquo;because cognitive bias needs a field guide”. Confusion of the inverse. Insensitivity to sample bias. Insensitivity to sample size.

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bias123.com bias123.com
1

Gambler's fallacy

http://bias123.com/gambler's_fallacy

Ldquo;because cognitive bias needs a field guide”. Confusion of the inverse. Insensitivity to sample bias. Insensitivity to sample size. DEAR ABBY: My husband and I just had our eighth child, another girl, and I am one really disappointed woman. I suppose I should thank God that she was healthy, but, Abby, this one was supposed to be a boy. Even the doctor told us the law of averages were in our favor 100 to one. Refers to the tendency to see chance as self-correcting. Will soon be corrected by bad.

2

False positive paradox

http://bias123.com/false_positive_paradox

Ldquo;because cognitive bias needs a field guide”. Confusion of the inverse. Insensitivity to sample bias. Insensitivity to sample size. The false positive paradox. Occurs when the false positive rate of a test for a condition is higher than the prior probability of that condition, so a false positive is more likely than a true positive, so if you test positive you are still more likely to not have the condition. But people may find this highly counter-intuitive. Confusion of the inverse. Above, area C.

3

Dilution effect

http://bias123.com/dilution_effect

Ldquo;because cognitive bias needs a field guide”. Confusion of the inverse. Insensitivity to sample bias. Insensitivity to sample size. Information without diagnostic value serves to dilute predictions based on highly diagnostic information. According to the dilution effect. People have less confidence in judgment after hearing both low- and high-value information rather than if they heard just high-value information. While this reasoning may seem fallacious, there is actually a positive interpretation&...

4

Disjunction fallacy

http://bias123.com/disjunction_fallacy

Ldquo;because cognitive bias needs a field guide”. Confusion of the inverse. Insensitivity to sample bias. Insensitivity to sample size. Refers to the finding that people find it more likely that a person is a member of a subset than of a larger set that contains the subset. This effect was first reported by Maya Bar-Hillel. In one study conducted in Israel, Bar-Hillel and Neter asked subjects about a hypothetical person named "Dorit". Subjects ranked "South Africa" as being more likely than "Africa".

5

Hot hand fallacy

http://bias123.com/hot_hand_fallacy

Ldquo;because cognitive bias needs a field guide”. Confusion of the inverse. Insensitivity to sample bias. Insensitivity to sample size. The hot hand fallacy. Other names: hot hand phenomenon. Was first reported in a paper by Thomas Gilovich. Robert Vallone and Amos Tversky. Whom found that the idea that basketball players get a "hot hand" and shoot in streaks could not be supported by data; if anything, there was a slight negative correlation. Gilovich, Vallone and Tversky polled basketbal fans and foun...

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