blog.statisticalpert.com

Statistical PERT™ Blog | Estimation made easy.

The bigger problems with estimating anything. There are a couple of bigger problems to wrestle with than the fact that Statistical PERT relies upon the normal curve instead of any other, better-fitting probability distribution. Let’s talk about a few of them. The first one that comes to mind is the error in choosing the values for the minimum, most likely, and maximum outcomes. For a bell-shaped uncertainty. Are these obtained from historical records? Are they industry benchmarks? August 17, 2015. I̵...

http://blog.statisticalpert.com/

OVERVIEW OF blog.statisticalpert.com

TRAFFIC RANK

>1,000,000

REVIEWS

0

PAGES IN THIS WEBSITE

14

LINKS TO THIS WEBSITE

CONTACTS

ADDRESSES

SOCIAL LINKS

ONLINE SINCE

WEBSITE DETAILS

SEO

PAGES

SIMILAR SITES

TRAFFIC RANK FOR BLOG.STATISTICALPERT.COM

TODAY'S RATING

>1,000,000

TRAFFIC RANK - AVERAGE PER MONTH

BEST MONTH

August

AVERAGE PER DAY Of THE WEEK

HIGHEST TRAFFIC ON

Monday

TRAFFIC BY CITY

Sign up

CUSTOMER REVIEWS

Average Rating: 4.4 out of 5 with 8 reviews

5 star

4

4 star

3

3 star

1

2 star

0

1 star

0

Hey there! Start your review of blog.statisticalpert.com

AVERAGE USER RATING

Write a Review

WEBSITE PREVIEW

LOAD TIME

2.9 seconds

CONTACTS AT BLOG.STATISTICALPERT.COM

ADD CONTACT

Login

TO VIEW CONTACTS

Remove Contacts

FOR PRIVACY ISSUES

CONTENT

PAGES IN
THIS WEBSITE

14

SSL

EXTERNAL LINKS

3

SITE IP

216.35.196.11

LOAD TIME

2.923 sec

SCORE

6.2

PAGE TITLE

Statistical PERT™ Blog | Estimation made easy. | blog.statisticalpert.com Reviews

<META> DESCRIPTION

The bigger problems with estimating anything. There are a couple of bigger problems to wrestle with than the fact that Statistical PERT relies upon the normal curve instead of any other, better-fitting probability distribution. Let’s talk about a few of them. The first one that comes to mind is the error in choosing the values for the minimum, most likely, and maximum outcomes. For a bell-shaped uncertainty. Are these obtained from historical records? Are they industry benchmarks? August 17, 2015. I&#821...

<META> KEYWORDS

1 statistical pert blog

2 estimation made easy

3 menu

4 skip to content

5 leave a reply

6 by famousdavis

7 irrelevant

8 their

9 reasonably accurate

10 would that matter

CONTENT

Page content here

KEYWORDS ON PAGE

statistical pert blog,estimation made easy,menu,skip to content,leave a reply,by famousdavis,irrelevant,their,reasonably accurate,would that matter,by palisade,and precision,does,why is that,most likely,outcome really is,minimum,maximum,point estimate

SERVER

Apache

CONTENT-TYPE

utf-8

GOOGLE PREVIEW

Statistical PERT™ Blog | Estimation made easy. | blog.statisticalpert.com Reviews

https://blog.statisticalpert.com

The bigger problems with estimating anything. There are a couple of bigger problems to wrestle with than the fact that Statistical PERT relies upon the normal curve instead of any other, better-fitting probability distribution. Let’s talk about a few of them. The first one that comes to mind is the error in choosing the values for the minimum, most likely, and maximum outcomes. For a bell-shaped uncertainty. Are these obtained from historical records? Are they industry benchmarks? August 17, 2015. I&#821...

INTERNAL PAGES

blog.statisticalpert.com

1

Skewing and Statistical PERT | Statistical PERT® Blog

http://blog.statisticalpert.com/2015/08/10/skewing-and-statistical-pert

Skewing and Statistical PERT. Statistical PERT uses a normal curve to create probabilities. The Excel functions NORM.DIST and NORM.INV assume that every normal curve is symmetrical — even when it’s not. How do I know that? Recognize the skewing of the probability curve, and so the resulting probabilities obtained from many trials are properly adjusted in a way that SPERT can’t do. So Monte Carlo simulation produces superior results because it can respond to skewness in a probability curve. August 10, 2015.

2

Monte Carlo – better than Statistical PERT? | Statistical PERT® Blog

http://blog.statisticalpert.com/2015/08/11/monte-carlo-better-than-statistical-pert

Monte Carlo – better than Statistical PERT? She’s right — but only if someone is skilled in creating a Monte Carlo simulation model, and only if that same person has access to good Monte Carlo simulation software. There are many more choices than PERT, SPERT and Monte Carlo simulation to estimate a project. But if you have access to Microsoft Excel, you already have the necessary software to create SPERT estimates. All you need now is the skill to do so. This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Predicting...

3

Why 42% = Guesstimate | Statistical PERT® Blog

http://blog.statisticalpert.com/2015/08/06/why-42-guesstimate

Why 42% = Guesstimate. In yesterday’s blog post, I explained why the SPERT-7 Rule equates near certainty in the most likely outcome of a bell-shaped uncertainty with a 7% Ratio Scale Multiplier. In today’s post, I’ll explain why under a condition of great uncertainty surrounding the most likely outcome, the Ratio Scale Multiplier is 42% in the SPERT-7 Rule. What if all you have is a vague guess? The SPERT-7 Rule says that a Guesstimate occurs when you distribute 100 hypothetical trials over a 3-point est...

4

The bigger problems with estimating anything | Statistical PERT® Blog

http://blog.statisticalpert.com/2015/08/17/the-bigger-problems-with-estimating-anything

The bigger problems with estimating anything. There are a couple of bigger problems to wrestle with than the fact that Statistical PERT relies upon the normal curve instead of any other, better-fitting probability distribution. Let’s talk about a few of them. The first one that comes to mind is the error in choosing the values for the minimum, most likely, and maximum outcomes. For a bell-shaped uncertainty. Are these obtained from historical records? Are they industry benchmarks? August 17, 2015. 2016 P...

5

Statistical PERT® Blog | Estimation made easy™ | Page 2

http://blog.statisticalpert.com/page/2

New Statistical PERT Website Launched! Yesterday, I launched the new Statistical PERT website. Which uses a WordPress theme. It’s all the essential information as before, but now it looks better and, importantly, has a responsive design so if you access the website using a mobile device, the site conforms to a small screen (no zooming in just to read a webpage! I also created a new, four-page, full-color brochure: Why Use Statistical PERT? This entry was posted in PMI Global Congress. July 29, 2016.

UPGRADE TO PREMIUM TO VIEW 9 MORE

TOTAL PAGES IN THIS WEBSITE

14

OTHER SITES

blog.stationcasinos.com

Office Cleaning Glasgow | Quality Cleaning Services | Glasgow Based Cleaners Domestic and Commercial

CALL NOW ON 07519 578 356. Or 0141 336 3511. Need professional office cleaning, Glasgow? Call us for great office cleaning rates and prices. Quality Cleaning Services has over 20 years experience in the cleaning industry, providing quality contract services to a range of different commercial and domestic clients. Commercial Office Cleaning Glasgow. Our staff are well trained and both trustworthy and discreet. We have dedicated supervisors to manage your account, and ongoing satisfaction surveys to en...

blog.stationerybazaar.com

StationeryBazaar.com | Exlcusive Online Stationery Store

Exlcusive Online Stationery Store. Skip to primary content. Skip to secondary content. Good habbits in Children : A Great life ahead. May 27, 2012. Do you want to teach your kids some good habbits? As a parent it is always a challenge to teach right habbits to your kids to be creative, to be suucessfull, and prosper in future adult life. Parents have an important responsibility to teach their kids the behaviors and habits necessary for a great life. 1 Be health-conscious and eat right. I believe setting ...

blog.stationlocal.com

Stationlocal Blog | Just another WordPress site

Stationlocal Blog Just another WordPress site. Home,page,page-id-15262,page-template,page-template-blog-large-image-simple,page-template-blog-large-image-simple-php,ajax fade,page not loaded,boxed, qode-theme-ver-7.5,wpb-js-composer js-comp-ver-4.5.3,vc responsive. July 4, 2015. July 3, 2015. October 4, 2013. Babes In Toyland 2015. The term minimalism is also used to describe a trend in design and architecture where in the subject is reduced to its necessary elements. Minimalist design has been highl...

blog.statisthema.com

Statisthema - Blog

Analyse de l'Environnement des affaires en Afrique. Economie, Finance, Tendances Socioculturelles. Aller à la recherche. Période médiatico-électorale du 02 au 07 avril 2012 : Nicolas Sarkozy et Marine Le Pen toujours plus impactants. Décryptage original. Comment les médias français en ligne mettent-ils en scène les cinq principaux candidats désignés par les sondages que sont : François Bayrou, François Hollande, Marine Le Pen, Jean-Luc Mélenchon et Nicolas Sarkozy? Qui gagnera à la fin? Discours du web f...

blog.statistica-mente.com

statisticaMENTE

Lunedì 27 luglio 2015. Le migliori Università italiane. Il 21 luglio 2015 è stata pubblicata la classifica 2015 delle migliori università italiane a cura de Il Sole 24 Ore. Nella quale in base ai punteggi di dodici differenti indicatori sono state stilate due graduatorie, quella relativa alle università statali e quella inerente alle private. Martedì 7 luglio 2015. Ricetta per una torta di . dati. Dopo avere parlato dell’istogramma, esaminiamo il grafico a settore circolare. Lunedì 15 giugno 2015. Per al...

blog.statisticalpert.com

Statistical PERT™ Blog | Estimation made easy.

The bigger problems with estimating anything. There are a couple of bigger problems to wrestle with than the fact that Statistical PERT relies upon the normal curve instead of any other, better-fitting probability distribution. Let’s talk about a few of them. The first one that comes to mind is the error in choosing the values for the minimum, most likely, and maximum outcomes. For a bell-shaped uncertainty. Are these obtained from historical records? Are they industry benchmarks? August 17, 2015. I&#821...

blog.statisticsbeta.com

statistics.gov.scot blog

News from the Statistics Team. Statistics.gov.scot blog. News from the statistics.gov.scot team. Updates on the development of statistics.gov.scot and information about using the site. Page 1 of 3. Older Posts →. How-to guide: I want to view data on a map. We get requests from users on data visualisation, particularly wanting to view data on a map. For example, you might want to compare average house prices ». How-to guide: find data for multiple areas at once using the Data Cart. Page 1 of 3.

blog.statium.io

Statium Data Blog

France - Germany: Home Sweet Home. July 06, 2016. Rule No.1: France always wins when hosting. Rule No.2: Germany always wins in the end. The rules of Fight Club made more sense. We take a look at the effect of playing at home, historically and comparing different competitions, and tell you what it means for France's chances against Germany in the Euro 2016 semi-finals. Euro 2016: Surprises and New Expectations. June 24, 2016. Gareth Bale vs Predictions: 1-0. Euro 2016 Week One: Predictions v. Reality.

blog.statjus.com

Statjus Blog | Bilişim Hukuku Blogu

Mikrofonu her zaman açık cihazlarda mahremiyet sorunsalı. Apple Siri, Amazon Alexa, Microsoft Cortana, Facebook M, Google Now… Mobil teknolojilerin fetret devrine yaklaştığı, bir sonraki “ yıkımın. 8221; yolda olduğu argümanları arasında sanal asistanlar, altüst edilecek alanı belirlemiş gibi görünüyor. Google, bu seneki I/O konferansında. 8216;u duyurdu. Amazon’un Echo. İzmir 4. Uluslararası Bilişim Hukuku Kurultayı’ndan izlenimler. Kişisel verilerin korunmaması hakkı ve Dijital Haklar projesi. Avrupa K...

blog.statler.ws

Arganagh | a blog of questionable things

A blog of questionable things. Skip to primary content. Skip to secondary content. Germanwings copilot is Muslim? How a rumor spreads. March 27, 2015. On Tuesday 3/24/15, Germanwings copilot Andreas Lubitz apparently flew his passenger jet into the ground, killing everyone on board. A few hours later, the anonymous owner of the St Thomas Aquinas Versus NASA. Blog posted this analysis. Either the Germanwings pilot is a Muslims and committed Jihad Suicide by crashing the plane into the Mountain. Two days l...

blog.statlr.com

The Statlr Blog

The Statlr Blog →. A pretty way to look at numbers. 7 years ago (1 note). 7 years ago (10 notes). You’re probably saying something like “finally”, so are we. We’ve added some much asked for improvements to Statlr. The first and biggest being full stat support for both Digg and Flickr. We’ve also added some minor additions in the form of a cool about page, enhanced navigation flow, and removing the Help widget tab that got in some peoples way. Now hit up statlr.com. 7 years ago (3 notes). API docs are in ...