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Clarity in Wealth Management
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CONVERGENT VIEWS: Following the Lead on Interest Rates Isn’t a Strategy
http://convergentviews.blogspot.com/2014/09/following-lead-on-interest-rates-isnt.html
Clarity in Wealth Management. Wednesday, September 24, 2014. Following the Lead on Interest Rates Isn’t a Strategy. Building a portfolio based solely on market consensus or projections isn't a strategy – it’s hope based investing. Interest rates going up has been the consensus view since 2009. Eventually this view will be right, so far it really hasn’t. When exactly they go up I am unsure of, though I tend to think later than most. Will it be mid-2015? What about consensus analyst? I am not advocating to...
CONVERGENT VIEWS: July 2014
http://convergentviews.blogspot.com/2014_07_01_archive.html
Clarity in Wealth Management. Thursday, July 24, 2014. Reducing the Risks from Your Brain. 8220;Knowledge alone isn’t enough. Even though we know it’s a bad idea to buy high and sell low, spend more than we earn, or invest in only one stock, we still repeat these mistakes…. The above sums up what I found to be a quick, insightful. Article in the New York Times. It touches on the most overlooked issue in personal finance – the psychological barriers to making sound financial decisions. The article mention...
CONVERGENT VIEWS: November 2013
http://convergentviews.blogspot.com/2013_11_01_archive.html
Clarity in Wealth Management. Tuesday, November 26, 2013. Getting Fresh with the Markets – Part 2. While I highlighted JP Morgan’s sexy charts in my last post, now it’s time for my sexy charts. It’s really a whole document, which you can find uploaded here. Aside from being more colorful and handsome, my weekly charts attempt to capture the movements of multiple markets, how they are performing relative to other markets, and if they are. More risky based on a historical metric I use. Note, the duration (...
CONVERGENT VIEWS: October 2014
http://convergentviews.blogspot.com/2014_10_01_archive.html
Clarity in Wealth Management. Monday, October 20, 2014. Oil Down, Good. There has been a big fuss made over lower oil prices and they are cratering:. So the logic goes: lower oil prices = less global demand for oil = weaker economy. Makes sense. Except in the US lower oil prices = more cash available for other consumer purchases = stronger economy. And in reality it’s spikes in oil prices, not dives, that correspond with recessions:. Please see the important disclosures that apply to this commentary.
CONVERGENT VIEWS: Euro Economy = Bad; Euro Stocks = Good (maybe)
http://convergentviews.blogspot.com/2014/09/euro-economy-bad-euro-stocks-good-maybe.html
Clarity in Wealth Management. Thursday, September 4, 2014. Euro Economy = Bad; Euro Stocks = Good (maybe). Europe’s economy is going back in the trash as GDP is flat with even all mighty Germany turning negative (see red bars indicating economic growth from the prior period):. This has been a persistent theme, since 2009 other developed economies – US, Japan, Britain – have grown faster while Europe has stagnated:. Further, the ECB has yet to institute quantitative easing. QE), but the rumors are swirling.
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Clarity in Wealth Management. Wednesday, January 28, 2015. Stocks haven’t had the greatest start to 2015. Regardless, economic fundamentals are seemingly still solid. Here are 3 charts indicating consumption could be tailwind in spite of the latest retail sales report. The most apparent, oil is cratering and along with it gas prices, giving consumers more funds to spend on retail items they likely don’t need:. Please see the important disclosures that apply to this commentary. Monday, October 20, 2014.
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