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Early Warning Project

Introducing the Early Warning Project: a new website and blog. February 17, 2015. As followers of this blog may have noticed, we’ve been working on a public website for the Early Warning Project featuring this blog, as well as the outputs of our statistical risk assessments and our opinion pool. After much tweaking, we’re excited to announce that the Early Warning Project website is now public at http:/ www.earlywarningproject.com. Our first blog post on the site is here. January 28, 2015. Those compleme...

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Early Warning Project | cpgearlywarning.wordpress.com Reviews

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Introducing the Early Warning Project: a new website and blog. February 17, 2015. As followers of this blog may have noticed, we’ve been working on a public website for the Early Warning Project featuring this blog, as well as the outputs of our statistical risk assessments and our opinion pool. After much tweaking, we’re excited to announce that the Early Warning Project website is now public at http:/ www.earlywarningproject.com. Our first blog post on the site is here. January 28, 2015. Those compleme...

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Early Warning Project | cpgearlywarning.wordpress.com Reviews

https://cpgearlywarning.wordpress.com

Introducing the Early Warning Project: a new website and blog. February 17, 2015. As followers of this blog may have noticed, we’ve been working on a public website for the Early Warning Project featuring this blog, as well as the outputs of our statistical risk assessments and our opinion pool. After much tweaking, we’re excited to announce that the Early Warning Project website is now public at http:/ www.earlywarningproject.com. Our first blog post on the site is here. January 28, 2015. Those compleme...

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cpgearlywarning | Early Warning Project

https://cpgearlywarning.wordpress.com/author/cpgearlywarning

Introducing the Early Warning Project: a new website and blog. February 17, 2015. As followers of this blog may have noticed, we’ve been working on a public website for the Early Warning Project featuring this blog, as well as the outputs of our statistical risk assessments and our opinion pool. After much tweaking, … Continue reading →. Our Experts’ Initial Take on Mass-Killing Onset Risks in 2015. January 28, 2015. Atrocities Early Warning Q&A: Simona Cruciani. January 27, 2015. January 23, 2015. The E...

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2014 Statistical Risk Assessments | Early Warning Project

https://cpgearlywarning.wordpress.com/2014/07/31/2014-statistical-risk-assessments

Atrocities Early Warning Q&A: Ben Valentino. Why We Assess Risks of Mass Killing Rather Than Genocide →. 2014 Statistical Risk Assessments. July 31, 2014. By Jay Ulfelder, Early Warning Project Director. Which countries around the world are currently most susceptible to new episodes of state-led mass killing? 30 Countries at Greatest Risk of a New Episode of State-Led Mass Killing. We call out the top 30 because we are confident that nearly all new episodes of state-led mass killing will occur in countri...

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Alarmed By Iraq | Early Warning Project

https://cpgearlywarning.wordpress.com/2014/04/30/alarmed-by-iraq

Central African Republic: Forecasting Outcomes and Drivers of Conflict →. April 30, 2014. By Jay Ulfelder, Early Warning Project Director. Iraq’s long-running civil war. Has spread and intensified again over the past year, and the government’s fight against a swelling Sunni insurgency now threatens to devolve into the sort of indiscriminate reprisals that could produce a new episode of state-led mass killing there. What seems to be increasing now is the risk of additional atrocities perpetrated by the ve...

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Relative Risks of State-Led Mass Killing Onset in 2015: Results from a Wiki Survey | Early Warning Project

https://cpgearlywarning.wordpress.com/2015/01/02/relative-risks-of-state-led-mass-killing-onset-in-2015-results-from-a-wiki-survey

Trends Over Time in State-Led Mass Killing Through 2014. Visualizing Changes in the Risk of New State-Led Mass Killings →. Relative Risks of State-Led Mass Killing Onset in 2015: Results from a Wiki Survey. January 2, 2015. By Jay Ulfelder, consultant to the Early Warning Project. The scores mapped here are. Estimated probabilities of mass-killing onset. Instead, they are assessments of relative risk. In other words, these scores tell us which countries our crowd thinks we should worry about more,. Our p...

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Early Warning Project | Page 2

https://cpgearlywarning.wordpress.com/page/2

Newer posts →. December 12, 2014. By Jay Ulfelder, consultant to the Early Warning Project. Over the past several months, Haiti has slipped into a political crisis that threatens to get worse in early 2015. As the International Crisis Group summarized in its 1 December 2014 edition. That U.S. and U.N. diplomats are holding talks with Haiti’s government and opposition to try to strike a new deal before legislators’ terms end on January 12. Reuters also notes that. There are, however, at least two interrel...

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Participate in a Community. Find Research and Publications. TutORials in Operations Research. Apply Operations Research and Analytics. Find an Analytics Consultant. Getting Started with Analytics. INFORMS Education Resource Library. INFORMS Today: The Podcast Series. Consider an Analytics/OR Career. Certification and Continuing Ed. INFORMS Prizes and Awards. Community Prizes and Awards. Join INFORMS and/or INFORMS Communities. Update Your Member Information. 2013 Attitudes About Analytics Survey. Explain...

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Early Warning Project

Introducing the Early Warning Project: a new website and blog. February 17, 2015. As followers of this blog may have noticed, we’ve been working on a public website for the Early Warning Project featuring this blog, as well as the outputs of our statistical risk assessments and our opinion pool. After much tweaking, we’re excited to announce that the Early Warning Project website is now public at http:/ www.earlywarningproject.com. Our first blog post on the site is here. January 28, 2015. Those compleme...

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