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Data Colada | Thinking about evidence and vice versa | datacolada.org Reviews
https://datacolada.org
Thinking about evidence and vice versa
Uri Simonsohn, Author at Data Colada
http://datacolada.org/author/uri
Thinking about evidence and vice versa. Author Archives: Uri Simonsohn. 50] Teenagers in Bikinis: Interpreting Police-Shooting Data. The New York Times, on Monday, showcased (. htm. An NBER working paper (. pdf. That proposed that blacks are 23.8 percent less likely to be shot at by police relative to whites. (p.22). As others have noted [ 3. For example, a biased officer may be more likely to perceive a Black teenager in a bikini as a physical threat ( YouTube. Threat of his arrestees. If teenagers ...
[40] Reducing Fraud in Science - Data Colada
http://datacolada.org/2015/06/29/40-reducing-fraud-in-science
Thinking about evidence and vice versa. 40] Reducing Fraud in Science. Fraud in science is often attributed to incentives: we reward sexy-results fraud happens. The solution, the argument goes, is to reward other things. In this post I counter-argue, proposing three alternative solutions. First, even if rewarding sexy-results caused fraud, it does not follow we should stop rewarding sexy-results. We should pit costs vs benefits. Asking questions with the most upside is beneficial. I realized I was not cu...
[36] How to Study Discrimination (or Anything) With Names; If You Must - Data Colada
http://datacolada.org/2015/04/23/36-how-to-study-discrimination-or-anything-with-names-if-you-must
Thinking about evidence and vice versa. 36] How to Study Discrimination (or Anything) With Names; If You Must. Consider these paraphrased famous findings:. Because his name resembles ‘dentist,’ Dennis became one (JPSP, .pdf. Because the applicant was black (named Jamal. Greg) he was not interviewed (AER, .pdf. Because the applicant was female (named Jennifer. She got a lower offer (PNAS, .pdf. This post highlights the problem and proposes three practical solutions. [ 1. Distinctively black names (e.g...
[39] Power Naps: When do Within-Subject Comparisons Help vs Hurt (yes, hurt) Power? - Data Colada
http://datacolada.org/2015/06/22/39-power-naps-when-do-within-subject-comparisons-help-vs-hurt-yes-hurt-power
Thinking about evidence and vice versa. 39] Power Naps: When do Within-Subject Comparisons Help vs Hurt (yes, hurt) Power? Paper (. pdf. Used a total sample size of N=40 to arrive at the conclusion that implicit racial and gender stereotypes can be reduced while napping. N=40 is a small sample for a between. Subject experiment. One needs N=92 to reliably detect that men are heavier than women ( SSRN. The study, however, was within. Reasonable question: How much. Design and analysis of napping study.
[35] The Default Bayesian Test is Prejudiced Against Small Effects - Data Colada
http://datacolada.org/2015/04/09/35-the-default-bayesian-test-is-prejudiced-against-small-effects
Thinking about evidence and vice versa. 35] The Default Bayesian Test is Prejudiced Against Small Effects. When considering any statistical tool I think it is useful to answer the following two practical questions:. 1 Does it give reasonable answers in realistic circumstances? 2 Does it answer a question I am interested in? In this post I explain why,. When it comes to the default Bayesian test that’s starting to pop up in some psychology publications, the answer to both questions is no. Question 1. ...
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Home location and causal modeling | High Noon GMT
https://highnoongmt.wordpress.com/2015/07/30/home-location-and-causal-modeling
Oh, to be torn 'twixt love an' tenure. Home location and causal modeling. July 30, 2015. By Bob L. Sturm. This wonderful visual presentation of machine learning. Got me thinking. I know the example is meant only as an illustration of things like classification, statistical association, measuring performance, and the difference between train and test error, but I think the example is also illustrative of some of the problems I have been exploring. I may thus edit the below as my understanding grows.).
Bob L. Sturm | High Noon GMT
https://highnoongmt.wordpress.com/author/boblsturm
Oh, to be torn 'twixt love an' tenure. Author Archives: Bob L. Sturm. Thoughts before I burn my US passport. November 9, 2016. By Bob L. Sturm. I want to burn my US passport. I really want to burn it. But that’s exactly what the terrorists want! Because if I burn it,. I won’t be able to help destroy their fucking wall. Reinforcement learning for Numberwang? November 7, 2016. By Bob L. Sturm. Attended some nice talks tonight at the London Machine Learning Meetup. First was Daniel Slater. November 3, 2016.
Playing Mozart’s Piano Pieces as Mozart Did – The New York Times | High Noon GMT
https://highnoongmt.wordpress.com/2015/07/25/playing-mozarts-piano-pieces-as-mozart-did-the-new-york-times
Oh, to be torn 'twixt love an' tenure. Playing Mozart’s Piano Pieces as Mozart Did – The New York Times. July 25, 2015. By Bob L. Sturm. Playing Mozart’s Piano Pieces as Mozart Did – The New York Times. Click to print (Opens in new window). Click to email (Opens in new window). Share on Facebook (Opens in new window). Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window). Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window). Click to share on Google (Opens in new window). This entry was posted in Music. Create a fre...
Statistics as math, statistics as tools – The Hardest Science
https://hardsci.wordpress.com/2014/12/04/statistics-as-math-statistics-as-tools
Statistics as math, statistics as tools. December 4, 2014. How do you think about statistical methods in science? Are statistics a matter of math and logic? Or are they a useful tool? Over time, I have noticed that these seem to be two implicit frames for thinking about statistics. Both are useful, but they tend to be more common in different research communities. And I think sometimes conversations get off track when people are using different ones. Frame 1 is statistics as math and logic. That traditio...
An open review of Many Labs 3: Much to learn – The Hardest Science
https://hardsci.wordpress.com/2015/03/12/an-open-review-of-many-labs-3-much-to-learn
An open review of Many Labs 3: Much to learn. March 12, 2015. March 12, 2015. A pre-publication manuscript for the Many Labs 3. A major goal was to examine whether time of semester moderates effect sizes, testing the common intuition among researchers that subjects are “worse” (less attentive) at the end of the term. But really, there is much more to it than that:. And perhaps less obviously, two significant effects — even in the same direction — can be very different. So the appropriate test. Is whether...
Some thoughts on replication and falsifiability: Is this a chance to do better? – The Hardest Science
https://hardsci.wordpress.com/2014/07/01/some-thoughts-on-replication-and-falsifiability-is-this-a-chance-to-do-better
Some thoughts on replication and falsifiability: Is this a chance to do better? July 1, 2014. Most psychologists would probably endorse falsification. As an important part of science. But in practice we rarely do it right. As others have observed. From your theory. On the flip side, a theory is corroborated when it survives many risky opportunities to fail. So in the grand scheme, I don’t think we should self-flagellate too much about being poor theorists or succumb to physics envy. Most of the...So with...
Is there p-hacking in a new breastfeeding study? And is disclosure enough? – The Hardest Science
https://hardsci.wordpress.com/2015/03/18/is-there-p-hacking-in-a-new-breastfeeding-study-and-is-disclosure-enough
Is there p-hacking in a new breastfeeding study? And is disclosure enough? March 18, 2015. March 18, 2015. There is a new study out about the benefits of breastfeeding on eventual adult IQ, published in The Lancet Global Health. It’s getting lots of news coverage, for example in NPR. A friend shared a link and asked what I thought of it. So I took a look at the article and came across this (emphasis added):. We present the one with the lower p value. From time to time students ask, Am I allowed to do.
What counts as a successful or failed replication? – The Hardest Science
https://hardsci.wordpress.com/2012/10/05/what-counts-as-a-successful-or-failed-replication
What counts as a successful or failed replication? October 5, 2012. Let’s say that some theory states that people in psychological state A1 will engage in behavior B more than people in psychological state A2. Suppose that, a priori, the theory allows us to make this directional prediction, but not a prediction about the size of the effect. Here’s the question: did Study 2 successfully replicate Study 1? My second problem is that we should always be putting theoretical statements to multiple tests. T...
misfortunes highlight how lucky i am – scatterplot
https://scatter.wordpress.com/2009/04/28/misfortunes-highlight-how-lucky-i-am
The unruly darlings of public sociology. Misfortunes highlight how lucky i am. Husband broke his foot on Sunday. Not playing hockey, but having brunch. Unfortunate. We went to the urgent care clinic, which is free (fortunately), because we live in Canada (fortunately), because I got a tenure-track job here (fortunately). While at the clinic, Husband got an x-ray and an air cast (cool! And he also picked up a flu bug. It wasn’t that. April 28, 2009. April 28, 2009 at 11:54 am. April 28, 2009 at 9:09 pm.
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Data Colada | Thinking about evidence and vice versa
Thinking about evidence and vice versa. 70] How Many Studies Have Not Been Run? Why We Still Think the Average Effect Does Not Exist. We have argued that, for most effects, it is impossible to identify the average effect ( datacolada.org/33. When averaging is easy: Height at Berkeley. My sense is that when people think that we should calculate the average effect size they are picturing something kind of like calculating average height: First sample (by collecting the studies that were run), then calculat...
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