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forex 外汇之家: 四月 2007

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8220;我们来到这里，目的是为了赚钱。”. 我发现顶尖交易员都具备一项共通的特质，他们热爱自己的工作。他们的执着与热忱创造出生命的活力，就象吹着帆船的强风，一切并不追求特殊的目的。 8220;我想，交易必须让你觉得很自在。如果你觉得不自在，那么交易可能不是你的终生事业，交易生涯不会很长。很多交易员都经常说，‘如果我大捞一笔的话，要搬到迷人的海边，经营一家冲浪公司和休闲运动公司’，我永远办不到这点。我沉迷于交易，必须感受市场，实际从事交易。我所谓的沉迷，并不象赌徒离不开赌台，但我确实离不开市场。我没有办法只监督下面的人进行交易，我必须自己来。”. 8220;我自认为是不错的管理人才，但如果某个人提供一份管理的工作给我，薪水与我目前赚的钱一样多，我也不可能接受，因为我希望从事交易。交易是人生不可或缺的部分。”. 我们不应该认为乔恩·纳贾里安在交易活动中无往不利。有些时候，他也会受到挫折；有些时候，他必须依赖毅力渡过难关。 8220;最后，我终于找到一位懂得选择权的人，我愿意免费帮他工作，只求他带领我踏进门槛，教我如何交易。这是黑暗中的第...8220;根据我的经验，场内最炙手可热的交易员&#...

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forex 外汇之家: 日本“失去的十年”会在美国上演吗？

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日本“失去的十年”会在美国上演吗？ 次贷危机会不会给美国经济带来类似日本“泡沫经济”崩溃后的长期停滞？会不会拖累中国经济并造成较大的负面影响？在次贷危机愈演愈烈的情况下， 这两个问题受到各方的广泛关注。由于美国的产业结构存在着巨大优势，并且拥有强大的危机转嫁能力，第一个问题的答案更可能是否定的，但是“美国看病，其他 国家被做手术”的局面却是非常现实的威胁。 美国目前的危机与日本上世纪八十年代末问题的共同点在于，金融体系出现严重失衡，资产价格与信用紧缩出现互相强化的恶性循环。但除此之外，当年日本实体经济本身也出现了严重的产业发展停滞问题，而这是决定日本陷入“失去的十年”的关键因素。 订阅： 帖子评论 (Atom). 日本“失去的十年”会在美国上演吗？

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forex 外汇之家: 美国政府、美联储、对冲基金联手掠夺全世界财富

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不要把美国看得太简单了。依我看：美元崩溃是不可能的，黄金暴涨倒是很有可能。 就美国玩“做空美元”游戏，我作个有趣的比喻：. 在一个美丽晴空的盛大节日里，在某公园，新疆达瓦孜（高空走钢丝）高手阿迪力免费在该公园表演达瓦孜。 公园里的游人和商贩都争着围着看，阿迪力表演很惊险，每次好象都要掉下来，但是，每次都逢凶化吉，在掉下来的刹那，又稳稳站在高空钢丝上。公园里的游人和商贩都看得吱吱赞叹，对阿迪力敬佩不已。 这时，台下有一帮人，赶快上前推销有关阿迪力的传记书、光盘、纪念品；同时，阿迪力下来后，又和游人有偿拍照、签名售书等等；接着，又一帮人上前推销有关平时公园销售的儿童食品、玩具等等。 这时，看得陶醉的公园商贩，还沉醉在阿迪力高超的技艺境界里，根本没心思卖东西；于是，草草地收摊了，回家去了。 于是，阿迪力天天来进行达瓦孜表演，公园里那些新来的商贩也天天来，开展与阿迪力参与的那些商务活动，而且，生意火暴。 渐渐地，公园里的老商贩开始没收入了，觉得不能天天看阿迪力达瓦孜表演，也要做生意了。 于是，全球进入滞胀时期，全球财富被美元和对冲基金大幅度掠夺掉了。 订阅： 帖子评论 (Atom).

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forex trading: Thursday Oil Market Round-Up

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Thursday, October 9, 2008. Thursday Oil Market Round-Up. On the weekly chart, note the following:. Prices are below all the SMAs. The 10 and 20 week SMA are both headed lower. The 10 week SMA has crossed below the 50 week SMA. The 50 week SMA is turning sideways (and will start moving lower within the next few weeks). Bottom line: this is a bearish chart. On the daily chart, notice the following:. Prices are below all the SMAs. All the SMAs are headed lower. The shorter SMAs are below the longer SMAs.

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forex 外汇之家: 七月 2008

http://forex5005.blogspot.com/2008_07_01_archive.html

第八讲 期权交易——组合套利策略. 12288;　马鞍式期权组合是有一手看涨期权和另一手相同品种、相同到期日和相同执行价格的看跌期权组合而成，并且两种期权的买卖方向相同。 1、买入马鞍式期权组合. 上图是买入马鞍式期权组合的盈亏曲线图。由图可知，此套利组合的最大亏损为两笔期权费之和，p1和p2为盈亏平衡点。当价格低于p1或者高于p2则期权组合盈利。 2、卖出马鞍式期权组合. 上图是卖出马鞍式期权组合的盈亏曲线。由图可知，此套利组合的最大盈利为两笔期权费之和，p1和p2为盈亏平衡点。当价格低于p1或者高于p2则期权组合亏损。 勒束式期权组合是有一手看涨期权和另一手相同品种、相同到期日但较低执行价格的看跌期权组合而成，并且两种期权的买卖方向相同。 1、买入勒束式期权组合. 垂直套利的交易方式为买进一个期权，同时卖出一个相同品种、相同到期日，但是执行价格不同的期权，这两个期权应同属看涨或看跌。垂直套利的特点在于将风险和收益度均限制在一定的范围内。 1、牛市看涨期权套利. 熊市看涨期权套利的交易方式是买进一个执行价格较高看涨期权，同时卖出一个到期日相同、但是执行价格较低的看涨期权&#...熊市看跌期权套利的交易...

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forex trading: Weekend Weimar and Beagle

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Friday, October 10, 2008. Weekend Weimar and Beagle. No pictures or movies today. I'm just glad this week is over. I'll be on KTLK tomorrow morning for econ 101 with Johnny Wendell. I'll be back on Monday. Until then, relax as much as you can and think about anything except the market. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). Good Overview of Last Weeks Markets. Weekend Weimar and Beagle. This Week Has Done a Ton Of Technical Damage. Paul Volcker Has The Answer. US Considering Nationalizing Banks.

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forex trading: Today's Markets

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Wednesday, October 8, 2008. A look at the chart reveals a very bearish chart. Prices are below all the SMAs. The shorter SMAs are below the longer SMAs. All the SMAs are moving lower. BUT, also note. Today was a high volume day, with a. The candle is an upside down hammer. However, by all technical indicators the market is extremely oversold right now. The MACD is the lowest its been in three months, as is. The relative strength index. Stochastics are also scraping the bottom. Weekend Weimar and Beagle.

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forex trading: Credit Problems -- The US' Leading Export

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Tuesday, October 7, 2008. Credit Problems - The US Leading Export. From the NY Times:. The crisis that began as a made-in-America subprime lending problem and radiated across the world is now circling back home, where it pummeled stock and credit markets on Monday. The vertiginous drop in stock markets on both sides of the Atlantic on Monday reflected not only those fears, experts said, but also a growing belief that the crisis could tip the world into a global recession. Ah yes - the gift that keeps on ...

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forex trading: Today's Markets

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Thursday, October 9, 2008. This is a multi-year chart. Notice that it's dropping off a cliff. Also note the volume - it's huge. The SPYs have dropped 42% since their highs a year ago. I've got nothing left to say. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). Good Overview of Last Weeks Markets. Weekend Weimar and Beagle. This Week Has Done a Ton Of Technical Damage. Paul Volcker Has The Answer. US Considering Nationalizing Banks. What Will Be the Chain Of Recessionary Events. Thursday Oil Market Round-Up.

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forex trading: October 2008

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Monday, October 13, 2008. Good Overview of Last Weeks Markets. This is from Investor's Business Daily. Click for a larger image. Let's take several different looks at last week's action. The daily chart shows a very bearish orientation. Prices are below all the SMAs, all the SMAs are headed lower, and the shorter SMAs are below the longer SMAs. But let's add a few points.'. 1) Notice there are two very long candles, which occurred on Tuesday and Thursday. There are bearish. Keep in mind that with last we...