climatebysurly.com
Rainfall from 1883 | climate by surly
https://climatebysurly.com/category/manilla-nsw/rainfall-from-1883
Climate Change at Manilla, NSW, Australia. About “Surly Bond”. Category Archives: Rainfall from 1883. Rain Days at Manilla: I. Posted in Manilla NSW. The annual pattern of rain day rainfall. In Manilla, the mean pattern of rainfall on rain days through the months of the year is simple and regular. This pattern can be worked out from the 125-year rainfall record of Manilla Post Office, Station 055031, beginning in 1883. And in the post “Manilla 30-year Monthly Rainfall Anomalies”. Extreme droughts were of...
thelongascent.blogspot.com
The Long Ascent: What Are You Living For?
http://thelongascent.blogspot.com/2013/02/what-are-you-living-for.html
It'll be a long, hard road, getting from here to there, but we can do it, as long as we have the right perspective and the kind of faith that moves mountains one shovelful at a time. Friday, February 22, 2013. What Are You Living For? Bug: Place your projectile weapon on the ground. Edgar: You can have my gun, when you pry it from my cold dead fingers. Bug: Your proposal is acceptable. From Men In Black. In response to the recent mass shootings, President Obama proposed 23 Executive Orders. So, to go bac...
climatebysurly.com
Calendar month anomalies | climate by surly
https://climatebysurly.com/category/manilla-nsw/21st-century-climate/calendar-month-anomalies
Climate Change at Manilla, NSW, Australia. About “Surly Bond”. Category Archives: Calendar month anomalies. For each calendar month, anomalies of climate variables are logged from 1999 to date. February Climate Anomalies Log. Posted in 21st-century climate. At the foot of the page. Raw anomaly values for February. Extreme values of February anomalies were as follows:. Daily Maximum Temperature Anomalies (3) -4.2 deg: February 2008; -3.3 deg: February 2012; -3.3 deg: February 2013;. Continue reading →.
climatebysurly.com
Global context | climate by surly
https://climatebysurly.com/category/manilla-nsw/21st-century-climate/global-context
Climate Change at Manilla, NSW, Australia. About “Surly Bond”. Category Archives: Global context. Comparison of the Manilla climate record from 1999 with world data. Log of the Southern Oscillation Index with climate shifts. Posted in Australian Climate. This graph relates to a graph of the cumulative values of the Southern Oscillation Index, posted earlier. Southern Oscillation Index: CUSUM plot. Posted in Australian Climate. Note added 25th August 2014. Note Added 19 December 2015. This is the CUSUM.
deflationland.blogspot.com
Deflation Land: June 2015
http://deflationland.blogspot.com/2015_06_01_archive.html
Sic transit gloria mundi. Sunday, June 28, 2015. Books: A summer trip to Anderson-Butler Rare Books. If you live in the greater Puget Sound area, and you can read, and you prefer to read good. Books instead of popular trash, then you owe it to yourself to visit Anderson-Butler Rare Books. In the Ballard neighborhood of Seattle. With the demise of Wessel and Lieberman. Downstairs, Twice Sold Tales. Across the street, and finishing up with the indispensable and very high-turnover (churn is good) Magus Books.
forensicstatistician.wordpress.com
Wall of illusions | forensicstatistician
https://forensicstatistician.wordpress.com/2011/06/07/wall-of-illusions
Nothing escapes the forensic statistician. Is there a fundamental flaw in modern banking? June 7, 2011. I have just finished reading Karl Polanyi’s Great Transformation , and it is poignant to see the parallels between our current situation and the early part of the 20th Century. Polanyi was referring to “market-economy” as the market for land, labour and money, whereby these fictitious commodities are traded (and therefore priced / valued), as if they were real commodities:. As the assumption is this th...
forensicstatistician.wordpress.com
Super Quants and Super Models | forensicstatistician
https://forensicstatistician.wordpress.com/2011/10/27/super-quants-and-super-models
Nothing escapes the forensic statistician. Is there a fundamental flaw in modern banking? Super Quants and Super Models. Super Quants and Super Models. October 27, 2011. Some of you may have already heard of the “Quants”, the supposed supermen of financial engineering. The majestic modellers of risk management and liquidity management that within their black box algorithmic alchemy they alone hold the key to unlocking the wondrous stability and growth of the late 20th / early 21st century. It seems that ...
forensicstatistician.wordpress.com
It’s de ja va all over again | forensicstatistician
https://forensicstatistician.wordpress.com/2011/11/04/it’s-de-ja-va-all-over-again
Nothing escapes the forensic statistician. Is there a fundamental flaw in modern banking? It’s de ja va all over again. It’s de ja va all over again. November 4, 2011. Ever since this financial crisis exploded in 2008 there have been commentators likening it to the 1930s. Steve Keen explains that private debt levels (never mind the sovereign debt sideshow) are higher than they were in the late 1920s. Paul Mason. Covers this viewpoint quite succinctly. But this is only part of the story. This chart of G7 ...
forensicstatistician.wordpress.com
Is there a fundamental flaw in modern banking? | forensicstatistician
https://forensicstatistician.wordpress.com/is-there-a-fundamental-flaw-in-modern-banking
Nothing escapes the forensic statistician. Is there a fundamental flaw in modern banking? Is there a fundamental flaw in modern banking? In November 2010 I submitted the following paper to the Independent Commission on Banking:. ICB Submission – Nov 2010. Here are the main points:. 1 The very structure of separating loan origination from ownership awakens deep rooted concerns about the exploitation of asymmetric information, namely Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard. 5 Finally, the climate for fraudulent...
forensicstatistician.wordpress.com
forensicstatistician | Nothing escapes the forensic statistician | Page 2
https://forensicstatistician.wordpress.com/page/2
Nothing escapes the forensic statistician. Is there a fundamental flaw in modern banking? Guest post: Avoiding a Lehman 2 and a Second Great Depression – David Lilley. September 8, 2011. I’m afraid a second Great Depression is a possibility. The only doctor that can cure the problem is the G20. The debt situation is far bigger than 1929 when many US citizens jumped on the stock bubble with credit. But many would be less than 10% unlike the many that jumped on the worldwide property bubble. When the US re...
SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT