"What intrigues us as a problem, and what will satisfy us as a solution, will depend upon the line we draw between what is already clear and what needs to be clarified," Nelson Goodman.
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Facts, Fictions and Forecasts | factsfictionsforecasts.blogspot.com Reviews
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"What intrigues us as a problem, and what will satisfy us as a solution, will depend upon the line we draw between what is already clear and what needs to be clarified," Nelson Goodman.
factsfictionsforecasts.blogspot.com
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts: World Impact Forecasts
http://factsfictionsforecasts.blogspot.com/2011/11/world-impact-forecasts.html
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts. What intrigues us as a problem, and what will satisfy us as a solution, will depend upon the line we draw between what is already clear and what needs to be clarified," Nelson Goodman. All state space models are written and estimated in the R programming language. The models are available here. With instructions and R procedures for manipulating the models here here. Wednesday, November 2, 2011. In the 3F blog, I have been primarily using state space models. Used by the IPCC.
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts: October 2013
http://factsfictionsforecasts.blogspot.com/2013_10_01_archive.html
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts. What intrigues us as a problem, and what will satisfy us as a solution, will depend upon the line we draw between what is already clear and what needs to be clarified," Nelson Goodman. All state space models are written and estimated in the R programming language. The models are available here. With instructions and R procedures for manipulating the models here here. Tuesday, October 8, 2013. Introduction: The Signal and the Noise. Ever since the invention of the printing p...
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts: Does Incarceration Reduce Crime Rates?
http://factsfictionsforecasts.blogspot.com/2015/02/does-incarceration-reduce-crime-rates.html
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts. What intrigues us as a problem, and what will satisfy us as a solution, will depend upon the line we draw between what is already clear and what needs to be clarified," Nelson Goodman. All state space models are written and estimated in the R programming language. The models are available here. With instructions and R procedures for manipulating the models here here. Thursday, February 26, 2015. Does Incarceration Reduce Crime Rates? Using the dse package. I can make the mo...
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts: March 2013
http://factsfictionsforecasts.blogspot.com/2013_03_01_archive.html
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts. What intrigues us as a problem, and what will satisfy us as a solution, will depend upon the line we draw between what is already clear and what needs to be clarified," Nelson Goodman. All state space models are written and estimated in the R programming language. The models are available here. With instructions and R procedures for manipulating the models here here. Monday, March 4, 2013. The Sequestration Experiment: Forecast, Counterfactual or Muddle? First used in the.
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts: Is the US Printing Too Much Money?
http://factsfictionsforecasts.blogspot.com/2015/04/is-us-printing-too-much-money.html
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts. What intrigues us as a problem, and what will satisfy us as a solution, will depend upon the line we draw between what is already clear and what needs to be clarified," Nelson Goodman. All state space models are written and estimated in the R programming language. The models are available here. With instructions and R procedures for manipulating the models here here. Sunday, April 19, 2015. Is the US Printing Too Much Money? And the current episode is no different (if you w...
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Random Variation: September 2013
http://randomvariation.blogspot.com/2013_09_01_archive.html
Things go wrong. The odds catch up. Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with gravity." Det. James 'Sonny' Crockett, Miami Vice The Movie. Thursday, September 12, 2013. A Flowchart For Quibbling With Research Results. This is a deceptively serious tongue-in-cheek (particularly the first line) flowchart from Dylan Matthews. You can use it to argue against a particular research result you don't like or, better yet, to anticipate attacks on your own research. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Dse (Dy...
Random Variation: March 2012
http://randomvariation.blogspot.com/2012_03_01_archive.html
Things go wrong. The odds catch up. Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with gravity." Det. James 'Sonny' Crockett, Miami Vice The Movie. Saturday, March 10, 2012. Six Useful Classes of Linear Models. As my students like to call it) is a difficult subject to teach with many seemingly unrelated and obscure concepts, many of which are listed under "Background Links" in the right-hand column. Compare Statistics to Calculus, another difficult topic for students. In the Calculus. Distribution th...
Random Variation: A Better Black Friday Retail Sales Model
http://randomvariation.blogspot.com/2012/12/a-better-black-friday-retail-sales-model.html
Things go wrong. The odds catch up. Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with gravity." Det. James 'Sonny' Crockett, Miami Vice The Movie. Friday, December 28, 2012. A Better Black Friday Retail Sales Model. Two earlier posts ( here. Described a simple hierarchical linear model (HLM) for Black Friday Retail Sales using data from an article in the Washington Post ( here. The pedagogical purpose of the HLM exercise was to display one answer to Simpson's Paradox. View my complete profile. Coal ...
Random Variation: November 2011
http://randomvariation.blogspot.com/2011_11_01_archive.html
Things go wrong. The odds catch up. Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with gravity." Det. James 'Sonny' Crockett, Miami Vice The Movie. Friday, November 25, 2011. This blog will deal with random topics in statistical analysis. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). View my complete profile. Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. How is preregistration like random sampling and controlled experimentation. Econometrics Beat: Dave Giles' Blog. Is the Trump Rally a "Sugar High"?
Random Variation: September 2012
http://randomvariation.blogspot.com/2012_09_01_archive.html
Things go wrong. The odds catch up. Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with gravity." Det. James 'Sonny' Crockett, Miami Vice The Movie. Monday, September 24, 2012. In a prior post ( here. I introduced the Dyestuff data set. At first, one might be tempted to run an analysis of variance (. On this data since the stated intention is to analyze. The ANOVA model is equivalent to the standard. Here, all the terms represent matrices: Y. M1 - lm(Yield Batch,Dyestuff,x=TRUE). Min 1Q Median 3Q Max.
Random Variation: Black Friday Sales and Store Size
http://randomvariation.blogspot.com/2012/12/black-friday-sales-and-store-size.html
Things go wrong. The odds catch up. Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with gravity." Det. James 'Sonny' Crockett, Miami Vice The Movie. Tuesday, December 4, 2012. Black Friday Sales and Store Size. The conventional wisdom about Black Friday (the day after Thanksgiving) Shopping in the US. Is that it is the primary driver of retail sales for the year! Economic reasoning would tell us that retailers would not be opening earlier and earlier, creating labor problems. View my complete profile.
Random Variation: The 'hlmmc' package
http://randomvariation.blogspot.com/2012/09/the-hlmmc-package.html
Things go wrong. The odds catch up. Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with gravity." Det. James 'Sonny' Crockett, Miami Vice The Movie. Sunday, September 16, 2012. From July 1 through August 15, I taught Sociology S534 Advanced Sociological Analysis: Hierarchical Linear Models. At the University of Tennessee in Knoxville. A syllabus for the course is available here. It explains how to download the software and how each function in the package can be used (also, see NOTE below). Typically,...
Random Variation: December 2012
http://randomvariation.blogspot.com/2012_12_01_archive.html
Things go wrong. The odds catch up. Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with gravity." Det. James 'Sonny' Crockett, Miami Vice The Movie. Friday, December 28, 2012. A Better Black Friday Retail Sales Model. Two earlier posts ( here. Described a simple hierarchical linear model (HLM) for Black Friday Retail Sales using data from an article in the Washington Post ( here. The pedagogical purpose of the HLM exercise was to display one answer to Simpson's Paradox. Friday, December 7, 2012. First...
Random Variation: October 2012
http://randomvariation.blogspot.com/2012_10_01_archive.html
Things go wrong. The odds catch up. Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with gravity." Det. James 'Sonny' Crockett, Miami Vice The Movie. Sunday, October 14, 2012. HLMs: The ML Estimator. In a prior post ( here. Package has been developed by Doug Bates at the University of Wisconsin and is considered state-of-the-art for ML estimation of mixed models, that is, models with both fixed and random effects, such as hierarchical models. Package documentation is available here. Given at the UseR!
Random Variation: February 2012
http://randomvariation.blogspot.com/2012_02_01_archive.html
Things go wrong. The odds catch up. Probability is like gravity: you cannot negotiate with gravity." Det. James 'Sonny' Crockett, Miami Vice The Movie. Friday, February 17, 2012. Peeking, Tweaking and Cross-Validation. The classical Null Hypothesis Testing (NHT) paradigm (see my prior posts on NHT here. Is focused almost exclusively on the critical experiment. The critical experiment, for example the gold-standard clinical trial. Is set up to insure that a hypothesis. Is there a solution to this dilemma?
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So knock me down, tear me up,. But I would bear it all broken just to fill my cup. Raquo; pt. 01. I caught her quick correction; my eyes searching hers, trying to dive into the depths of her meticulous brain. I saw how easily I could fall into her and she would listen, she was willing to help my sorry arse. I frown and turn back towards the mirror. I don’t need her help, I don’t deserve it. Ldquo;I don’t trust your bloody arse,” she says, wand already in hand but eyes still curious. With 1 269 notas.
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Book Reviews, Author Biography, Summary. Find Sale Prices. Search for Books by Title, Author, Subject, Keywords, or ISBN. Find Sale Prices. Enter Title - Author - Keywords or ISBN. Find Books by Title. Find Books by ISBN. Find Books by Keywords. Book Reviews - Summary. All Formats (hardcover, paperback,. Kindle, audio, etc.). Find Books by Author. Find Books by Subject. New - Used - Collectable" /. New - Used - Collectable. Dimensions, # Pages, Language,. March 28, 2018.
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Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung. Schwimmende Ausstellung für das Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung mit Rekordbesucherzahl. Zur Projektseite "MS Wissenschaft". Weltausstellungs-Pavillon von Kasachstan gewinnt in der Kategorie Architecture Event/Exhibition. Science For A Better Life-Tour. Internationale Roadshow der Bayer AG gerade in Japan. Die Weltreise geht weiter: Nach Stopps beispielsweise in Sao Paulo, Mexiko City und Lyon macht die Bayer-Tour aktuell in Tokio Station. Die v...
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Facts and Fiction in the current ME war
Facts and Fiction in the current ME war. This blog is aimed at exposing and correcting misconceptions as well as mistakes by the media concerning the current conflict between Israel, Lebanon and Hezbollah. Thursday, September 07, 2006. Rust and the Ambulances. Many people apparently think that the rust shown in the pictures of the infamous ambulance incident is proof that the damage is older than 23rd of July 06. As I will show with this posting, this is not quite the case. Paper about ship hull cleaning:.
factsfictionsforecasts.blogspot.com
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts
Facts, Fictions and Forecasts. What intrigues us as a problem, and what will satisfy us as a solution, will depend upon the line we draw between what is already clear and what needs to be clarified," Nelson Goodman. All state space models are written and estimated in the R programming language. The models are available here. With instructions and R procedures for manipulating the models here here. Friday, December 1, 2017. Can every country have the US standard of living? With a Cobb-Douglas production f...
FACTS FIGHT BACK
Is marriage equality a conscience vote issue? July 3, 2015. Can tampons be given tax-exempt status without state approval? June 2, 2015. Does negative gearing keep rent prices low? May 5, 2015. Would we “go broke” without coal? March 3, 2015. Can you eat the family home? February 17, 2015. Does the RET mean higher power prices? February 17, 2015. Politics is about persuading voters about priorities. To do so, facts are important, but they can also be misused in an attempt to win the debate. July 3, 2015.
Facts And Figure
Friday, November 7, 2008. Fact: A well cared for house rabbit that has been spayed or neutered early in life has a life expectancy of 8 to 12 years of age. Fact: The gestation period of a rabbit is about 31 days. Fact: A group of rabbits is called a herd. Fact: A group of rabbits lives in a warren. Keywords: Life-expectancy, life expectancy, life-span, life span, how long to rabbits live, gestation, lagomorphs. Some Interseting Facts About Horse. A stallion is a male horse. A mare is a female horse.
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Facts & Figures - Conseil en stratégie et en management
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