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Fundamental analysis of the capital markets
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Observations & VIX Interpretation « Fundamental Trading Diary
https://fundamentaltrader.wordpress.com/2009/09/12/observations-vix-interpretation
Fundamental analysis of the capital markets. Observations and VIX Interpretation. Fig 1: S&P 500, VIX, ATR(20), and ATR(20)-VIX Difference Histogram. The VIX is an indicator distributed by the CBOE which uses the out-of-the-money put and call prices for the front and next months to forecast implied volatility for the next calendar month. The reality, however, is that it’s largely a reflection of the. Calendar month. This is demonstrated by plotting Wilder’s. The VIX At Bottoms. The market to make the mos...
Fundamental Playbook for 2010 « Fundamental Trading Diary
https://fundamentaltrader.wordpress.com/2010/02/27/fundamental-playbook-for-2010
Fundamental analysis of the capital markets. Fundamental Playbook for 2010. High energy costs and interest rates combine to create a scenario Gregor Macdonald calls the Double Overhead Crush. As complacency from the liquid risk asset market rally sets in, global political solidarity for reflation is beginning to crumble as the Chinese and Europeans engage in gigantic games of macro-economic chicken. My conclusion to all of this is that risk of real economic activity materially growing in 2010 is low.
2009 October 05 « Fundamental Trading Diary
https://fundamentaltrader.wordpress.com/2009/10/05
Fundamental analysis of the capital markets. Themes and Forces for 4Q. The Federal Reserve is clearly trying to revive this. Model Chris Martenson has calculated that the Federal Reserve is more than 100% of the 2009 mortgage market. Why, then, also despite the $8,000 home-buyer tax credit, is the Case-Shiller Composite-20 only 3.6% off its recession lows? Let’s first start by axing more than 20% of people who have mortgages beecause they are under water. Why am I still bullish on equities? Most global e...
Reflecting on Obscure late 19th and 20th Century Composers « Fundamental Trading Diary
https://fundamentaltrader.wordpress.com/2009/12/26/reflecting-on-obscure-late-19th-and-20th-century-composers
Fundamental analysis of the capital markets. Reflecting on Obscure late 19th and 20th Century Composers. After discovering a few dozen new composers in the last several weeks, boy was I wrong! There was (and still is) so much great classical music that I hadn’t heard. Most of what I had not heard was from Eastern Europe, where the composers were often displaced or suppressed by the formation of the USSR. So, I will share some of my journey with you:. Blumenfeld commands wonderful virtuosic textures like ...
2010 February 27 « Fundamental Trading Diary
https://fundamentaltrader.wordpress.com/2010/02/27
Fundamental analysis of the capital markets. Fundamental Playbook for 2010. High energy costs and interest rates combine to create a scenario Gregor Macdonald calls the Double Overhead Crush. As complacency from the liquid risk asset market rally sets in, global political solidarity for reflation is beginning to crumble as the Chinese and Europeans engage in gigantic games of macro-economic chicken. My conclusion to all of this is that risk of real economic activity materially growing in 2010 is low.
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Fundamental Trading Diary
Fundamental analysis of the capital markets. Canada, the second largest country in the world by landmass, is home to 30 million people. It’s the most economically comparable nation in the world to the United States: just at 1/10th scale. After being more fiscally conservative than Americans — and rather smug about it, particularly after the 2008 credit crisis — a bi-polar economic structure has emerged which undermines the illusory Canadian prosperity. When oil rises, two key things happen: Americans buy...
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December 29, 2014. Indochina Day 5-7: Bangkok and Ayutthaya. Day 5: Taling Chan Floating Market, Chatuchak Weekend Market, MBK. Day 7: Chao Phraya river, Wat Pho, Bangkok-HCM-Manila. I’ve been to Bangkok a couple of times before this trip but I was still really excited. There was little time around business trips so I didn’t really have a lot of time to see a lot of places around the city – and there’s a lot to see in Bangkok. One of the food boats in Taling Chan. Hua Lamphong Train Station. Small note b...
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