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Greater Than Plus MinusGreater Than Plus Minus: advanced statistics and data analytics for NHL hockey. #fancystats
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http://www.greaterthanplusminus.com/
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Greater Than Plus Minus | greaterthanplusminus.com Reviews
https://greaterthanplusminus.com
Greater Than Plus Minus: advanced statistics and data analytics for NHL hockey. #fancystats
Greater Than Plus Minus: PLAY
http://www.greaterthanplusminus.com/p/play.html
160; Greater Than Plus Minus. Links to a series of articles. Introduction. Defining marginal contribution. PLAY, the playmaking metric. A link to the full paper. Can be found here. PLAY is a metric for quantifying playmaking ability in hockey that is better than assists in two quantifiable ways: (1) it is more consistent than assists, and (2) it is better than assists at predicting future assists. Two main reasons for the improvement are:. 2 It accounts for strength of teammates. In Part 2 of this series...
Greater Than Plus Minus: Goalies
http://www.greaterthanplusminus.com/p/goalies.html
160; Greater Than Plus Minus. In this series of articles, we describe a Bayesian approach to analyzing goalies that has these benefits over using Even Strength SV% (ESSV%):. It is easier to compare goalies who have faced a different number of shots. We get error bounds for our estimates. Our approach allows us to answer a variety of questions like "What is the probability that Goalie A is better than Goalie B? And "What is the probability that Goalie A's true ESSV% is above .920? Part 5 - coming soon.
Greater Than Plus Minus: PLAY: A Playmaking Metric, Part 1 – Intro
http://www.greaterthanplusminus.com/2013/07/play-playmaking-metric-part-1-intro.html
160; Greater Than Plus Minus. PLAY: A Playmaking Metric, Part 1 – Intro. I wanted to share a recent project I did with friends and colleagues Chris Weld and Chris Arney titled " Quantifying playmaking ability in hockey. The one sentence summary is that we developed a metric for quantifying playmaking ability in hockey that is better than assists in two quantifiable ways: (1) it is more consistent than assists, and (2) it is better than assists at predicting future assists. That article also has a good.
Greater Than Plus Minus: Bayesian approach to analyzing goalies, Part 2: An example
http://www.greaterthanplusminus.com/2013/10/bayesian-approach-to-analyzing-goalies.html
160; Greater Than Plus Minus. Bayesian approach to analyzing goalies, Part 2: An example. Let's begin with a simple example. Let's consider the first 10 shots that Roberto Luongo faced during the 2008-09 season. None of these shots were goals. If this is the only information we have about Luongo, what should our estimate of his true ESSV% be? In other words, what should we expect his ESSV% to be going forward? Note that this distribution curve for Luongo is very close to the prior distribution. We on...
Greater Than Plus Minus: NHL Heat map
http://www.greaterthanplusminus.com/2014/04/nhl-heat-map.html
160; Greater Than Plus Minus. StatsbyLopez posted a photo on Twitter from a recent presentation where I showed an NHL heat map. So I thought I'd give a quick explanation of said heat map. First, here's the heat map: it's for all 5-on-5 shots in the NHL:. The size of each rectangle represents the number of shots taken at that location (bigger rectangle = more shots). The color represents the percentage of shots that were goals (red = high percentage, blue = low percentage). January 19, 2015 at 7:49 PM.
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Red Line Station: What does BPA mean?
http://redlinestation.blogspot.com/2015/06/what-does-bpa-mean.html
Your stop for all things Caps, with an extra focus on the numbers.like 8, 19, 27, 52, 70, 74, and 90. Saturday, June 27, 2015. What does BPA mean? I don't think anybody wants their team to not pick BPA at the draft. No executive, as far as I've seen, says they're not going BPA. But what does BPA mean? The easy answer is "best player available." But that's not how teams should pick, necessarily. While the NBA Draft has that extra factor. Netminders, if you think about it. Bernier, Varlamov, and Price ...
Red Line Station: Caps TOIComp
http://redlinestation.blogspot.com/2013/08/caps-toicomp.html
Your stop for all things Caps, with an extra focus on the numbers.like 8, 19, 27, 52, 70, 74, and 90. Thursday, August 8, 2013. It took awhile, but I finally got this done. (I'm still tweaking the code, so it'll be a few days before I publish it here. A) I calculated TOI/60 by dividing individual 5v5 TOI by team 5v5 TOI (only counting games in which the player played). This differs from Behind the Net's TOI/60, which is 5v5 (and 6v5) TOI per game. I hope Adam Oates uses them in that role. Steve Oleksy wa...
Red Line Station: Central Division Thoughts
http://redlinestation.blogspot.com/2013/09/central-division-thoughts.html
Your stop for all things Caps, with an extra focus on the numbers.like 8, 19, 27, 52, 70, 74, and 90. Friday, September 27, 2013. Losses: F Michal Frolik, F Dave Bolland, F Viktor Stalberg, G Ray Emery. Additions: G Nikolai Khabibulin. Goaltending: We can be pretty sure Corey Crawford is a competent starter. Probably not much more or much less. Losses: F Andy McDonald (retirement), F David Perron (trade), F Jamie Langenbrunner (UFA), Wade Redden (UFA). Tl;dr : Great group of skaters, goaltending might be...
Red Line Station: Pacific Division Thoughts
http://redlinestation.blogspot.com/2013/09/pacific-division-thoughts.html
Your stop for all things Caps, with an extra focus on the numbers.like 8, 19, 27, 52, 70, 74, and 90. Saturday, September 14, 2013. I vacillated a lot between Anaheim, Phoenix, and Edmonton—I can see a good case for any order there. I felt there was a lot of uncertainty with Vancouver. Other than that, I feel pretty good with my picks here.unless I missed something huge. Lost: F Dustin Penner (UFA), G Jonathan Bernier (trade), D Rob Scuderi (trade). Lost: TJ Galiardi (trade), G Thomas Greiss (UFA). Defen...
Red Line Station: June 2015
http://redlinestation.blogspot.com/2015_06_01_archive.html
Your stop for all things Caps, with an extra focus on the numbers.like 8, 19, 27, 52, 70, 74, and 90. Saturday, June 27, 2015. What does BPA mean? I don't think anybody wants their team to not pick BPA at the draft. No executive, as far as I've seen, says they're not going BPA. But what does BPA mean? The easy answer is "best player available." But that's not how teams should pick, necessarily. While the NBA Draft has that extra factor. Netminders, if you think about it. Bernier, Varlamov, and Price ...
Red Line Station: Ideas
http://redlinestation.blogspot.com/2010/08/ideas.html
Your stop for all things Caps, with an extra focus on the numbers.like 8, 19, 27, 52, 70, 74, and 90. Monday, August 23, 2010. If there's something you want me to opine on, analyze, list, or just plain write about, leave it in the comments. I'll leave this page linked under "Welcome" on the right sidebar. Posted by Red Army Line. March 18, 2011 at 2:55 PM. Hi I love your blog! Also, can you post videos. Like recaps of games maybe? That would be thoroughly helpful. Thanks man! March 19, 2011 at 3:43 AM.
Red Line Station: Testing my optimism
http://redlinestation.blogspot.com/2013/09/testing-my-optimism.html
Your stop for all things Caps, with an extra focus on the numbers.like 8, 19, 27, 52, 70, 74, and 90. Thursday, September 26, 2013. I thought this would be a fun exercise. I'll project every player's goal, assist, and point total. At the end, I'll add them up and see whether the totals make sense. And throw in a little extra from Volpatti, Latta, and the other irregulars. And throw in a little extra for Strachan, Orlov, Kundratek, and other irregulars. Total: 243 G, 407 A, 650 P. Posted by Red Army Line.
Red Line Station: 2013 TOIComp leaders
http://redlinestation.blogspot.com/2013/08/2013-toicomp-leaders.html
Your stop for all things Caps, with an extra focus on the numbers.like 8, 19, 27, 52, 70, 74, and 90. Monday, August 12, 2013. Here are the top 30 skaters by TOIComp. I only included the 609 skaters who played at least 36,000 man-minutes versus forwards—at three forwards per second, this is about 200 5v5 minutes. You can find the complete lists here,. And I posted a preliminary version of the code here. Top 30 vs F:. If you're surprised to see Backstrom here, given my post the other day. In short, Corsi ...
Red Line Station: Metropolitan Division Thoughts
http://redlinestation.blogspot.com/2013/09/metropolitan-division-thoughts.html
Your stop for all things Caps, with an extra focus on the numbers.like 8, 19, 27, 52, 70, 74, and 90. Monday, September 30, 2013. What conventional wisdom gets right: Crosby, Malkin, and Letang can carry this team. Recent developments: Kris Letang got hurt. Out indefinitely. Tomas Vokoun was also hospitalized for a blood clot and although he's been discharged, he's out indefinitely as well. Recent developments: Tom Wilson might make the team.if he does, another move needs to come. (Edit: they tra...What ...
Red Line Station: October 2013
http://redlinestation.blogspot.com/2013_10_01_archive.html
Your stop for all things Caps, with an extra focus on the numbers.like 8, 19, 27, 52, 70, 74, and 90. Tuesday, October 8, 2013. Good Teams, Bad Games. I took the teams with 54 % Corsi close at the end of each season and looked at their Corsi percentages over each three-game stretch (overlaps included). According to Extra Skater. Caps under 46.8%. The 17 teams above 54% Corsi close: 07-08 Red Wings, 07-08 Rangers, 07-08 Capitals, 08-09 Sharks, 08-09 Red Wings, 08-09 Blackhawks, 08-09 Capitals, 08-09 Flame...
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greaterthanorlessthan.blogspot.com
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Everyday as i know it. I'm back. kind of. I have no sense for today. sorry dudes. let's make this 365 a 364 project, okay? On the road again. General conference, part deux! Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Sight: winnie truong sound: touch: via taste: die. Sight: via sound: touch: via taste: via smell: vi. Im back. kind of. sight: via sound: go do from. I have no sense for today. sorry dudes. lets make. On the road again. sight: levan kakabadze sound. General conference, part deux! View my complete profile.
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greaterthanourselves.wordpress.com
In Search of Something Greater Than Ourselves | "Never the place, but a new way of seeing things." – Henry Miller
In Search of Something Greater Than Ourselves. Never the place, but a new way of seeing things. - Henry Miller. Hey, I’ve moved:. January 4, 2017. If you’re still a loyal follower of mine, note that I’ve moved my writing over to http:/ www.medium.com/but-we-had-good-intentions. I’ll be publishing about a lot of the same experiences you’ve already read, but in a new critical light. I think it’ll be a bit unsettling, but I also think you’ll like it. See you over there! Follow Blog via Email.
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Greater Than Plus Minus
160; Greater Than Plus Minus. Goodbye, @GreaterThanPM. Hello, @bmacNHL. I recently changed my Twitter handle, which I'm sure caused millions of people, or possibly 0 people, large quantities of distress and sleepless nights, and provoked questions like "how could you do such a thing? And "why ask why? So I thought I'd explain. Here is an in-depth explanation using some complicated formulae:. Bmac = a nickname commonly used when referring to me. Q Why not @bmacFLA? A It was already taken. #sadface. I was ...
Greater Than Real
February 13, 2015. In this episode, the guys hole up in their respective homes and weather the storm. What's the best way to pass the time while snow slowly encases your domicile, cutting you off from the outside world? Why, talkin' nerdy stuff with your friends over Skype, that's what. We wrapped ourselves in blankets and talked about:. Elder Scrolls: Tamriel Unlimited. BIG changes to Marvel and DC. Comics in television today. Intro: "Erase," by They Might Be Giants. Outro: "Modern Guilt," by Beck.
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