The Forecasting Principles site summarizes all useful knowledge about forecasting so that it can be used by researchers, practitioners, and educators. The site is devoted to improving decision making by furthering scientific forecasting.
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https://principlesofforecasting.com
The Forecasting Principles site summarizes all useful knowledge about forecasting so that it can be used by researchers, practitioners, and educators. The site is devoted to improving decision making by furthering scientific forecasting.
principlesofforecasting.com
Practitioners' Page
http://www.principlesofforecasting.com/index.php/practitioners-page
Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Information for Practitioners, and Legal Aspects of Forecasting. Jump to Legal Aspects. Conduct a Forecasting Audit. Of your organization's forecasting practices. Do you follow best practice? The audit can be tailored to your situation based on the description of your problem. Calculate the potential gain from more accurate forecasts. Provide a way to assess "how well does the current method forecast in this situation? How to Structure a Forecasting Problem.
Principles Checklist
http://www.principlesofforecasting.com/index.php/principles-checklist
The Forecasting Principles Checklist is an alternative to using the Forecasting Audit Software. You can use the checklist with a copy of The Principles of Forecasting. Or click on "The Principles" tab to get detailed descriptions of the principles and supporting evidence. The Selection Tree can also help you to audit a proposed or existing forecasting process. Armstrong 2001 Checklist.doc. Armstrong 2001 Checklist-form.doc. Dynamic form version with tick box selections). Armstrong 2001 Checklist.pdf.
Software
http://www.principlesofforecasting.com/index.php/software
Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Multi-round surveys of experts where anonymous feedback on the groups' responses and on reasoning is provided to the experts after each round. Delphi software user guide. In the form of PowerPoint slides with voiceover intrstructions originally developed to instruct participants in an experiment. To around 150 programs, some of which are free, and links to relatedt sites which evaluate software. Forecast Package for R. From Hyndman, Koehler, Snyder and Grose.
News
http://www.principlesofforecasting.com/index.php/forprin-news
Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. Golden Rule of Forecasting App. New resource for public policy forecasting. New paper on forecasting the effectiveness of advertisements. PollyVote is back for the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Occam's razor and forecasting climate. Forecasting climate in Paris: Ignoring the Golden Rule. International Symposium on Forecasting 2016 announcement. Simplicity and Golden Rule at Riverside Symposium. Methodology and Selection Trees revised. Page 1 of 14.
Evidence on Principles
http://www.principlesofforecasting.com/index.php/evidence-on-principles
Books, Journals, Papers. Text and Trade Books. This page provides summaries of the original research that led to the principles. Currently we have some of the papers. More will be added shortly. In addition, we post some papers that have contributed to principles. Please help us by sending papers â by yourselves or others â along with a thumbnail sketch that we would include to inform visitors as to which principles are affected and how. Papers with New Evidence on Principles. 617-624. - Full Text. Elain...
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The Power to Change Lives
The Power To Change Lives. Fundamental Principles of Faith and The Courage to Win. What is The Power to Change Lives? What is the Gospel? How you live your life is a reflection of how you view God". More than an Alter Call. August 6, 2014. 8211; Matthew 13: 1-9. Filed Under: Principles of Faith. July 13, 2014. Filed Under: Courage To Win. It’s More Important than Going to Church! May 23, 2014. Filed Under: Principles of Faith. Who Says Heaven is for Real? May 6, 2014. Heaven is a common religious belief ...
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The] textbook is the best book I have really ever used. Learning the material is not a chore. - from a student user of this textbook. The Constitutional Recipe for Freedom. Twelve Principles of liberty today's. Politicians don't want you to know. The Constitutional Recipe for Freedom. Biblical Foundations of Government. To order teaching materials for this textbook.
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