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Scarce Whales

Tuesday, November 4, 2014. Saudis Eat American Oil's Lunch. Above is a photo I took in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia]. The 12 members of OPEC are Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela. Although there are 12 members, only one counts: Saudi Arabia. There hasn't been a formal OPEC cut since December 2008. OPEC's individual member quota system was finally scrapped in December 2011. In effect, OPEC is dead. What the oil market cares ab...

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Scarce Whales | scarcewhales.blogspot.com Reviews
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Tuesday, November 4, 2014. Saudis Eat American Oil's Lunch. Above is a photo I took in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia]. The 12 members of OPEC are Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela. Although there are 12 members, only one counts: Saudi Arabia. There hasn't been a formal OPEC cut since December 2008. OPEC's individual member quota system was finally scrapped in December 2011. In effect, OPEC is dead. What the oil market cares ab...
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1 skip to main
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3 time slippage
4 balancing budgets
5 saudi arabia $95
6 still buying premium
7 1 marginal producers
8 2 consumers
9 3 opec
10 older posts
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Scarce Whales | scarcewhales.blogspot.com Reviews

https://scarcewhales.blogspot.com

Tuesday, November 4, 2014. Saudis Eat American Oil's Lunch. Above is a photo I took in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia]. The 12 members of OPEC are Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela. Although there are 12 members, only one counts: Saudi Arabia. There hasn't been a formal OPEC cut since December 2008. OPEC's individual member quota system was finally scrapped in December 2011. In effect, OPEC is dead. What the oil market cares ab...

INTERNAL PAGES

scarcewhales.blogspot.com scarcewhales.blogspot.com
1

Scarce Whales: October 2014

http://scarcewhales.blogspot.com/2014_10_01_archive.html

Friday, October 24, 2014. Oil Price War: Crude Oil to $70. I just appeared on CNBC TV Halftime Report. Crude oil prices are headed to $70 per barrel. The last time I was on CNBC, oil (basis WTI) was $97 and I mentioned that it was going to $80. Today oil is $80 and I talked about why oil is now heading even lower. See the TV segment here. Monday, October 20, 2014. Max Pain in the Oil Market. OPEC have a history of only allowing oil prices to free-fall when there has been a specific focused agenda. Th...

2

Scarce Whales: Max Pain in the Oil Market

http://scarcewhales.blogspot.com/2014/10/max-pain-in-oil-market.html

Monday, October 20, 2014. Max Pain in the Oil Market. There is a saying in the oil market that prices always move to a point of "max pain" before there is a change in direction. In other words, almost like in wrestling, a group of market participants have to tap out of the market due to economic suffering. Oil, currently just above $80 per barrel (basis WTI crude), appears now to have OPEC's blessing to move further into the low $70s and possibly the $60s. Even if discussions of an OPEC cut were to begin...

3

Scarce Whales: Lower oil prices no longer help the US economy

http://scarcewhales.blogspot.com/2014/09/do-lower-oil-prices-help-or-hurt-us_49.html

Thursday, September 18, 2014. Lower oil prices no longer help the US economy. The US currently consumes around 19 million barrels of oil per day (5% of the world's population consuming 21% of global oil supply. Global supply is roughly 91.5 million barrels per day). A drop in prices of $1 per barrel equates to a $7 billion boost in non-oil US consumer spending when annualized. This is money which US consumers do not have to spend on oil and instead can spend on new mobile phones and other goods. Consumer...

4

Scarce Whales: Big Whale

http://scarcewhales.blogspot.com/2009/05/government-alternative-fuels-1891.html

Friday, May 15, 2009. Historical touchstones can humble us by marking how far we have come in such a short period of time. What now seems obvious was quite recently not so. The following table from the New York Times of January 8, 1862 shows the number of North Pacific whaling ships and barrels of whale oil taken. You can see the pattern of more scarce whales. Source: The New York Times, Jan 8, 1862. Click excerpt for full article). As you will know from Oil 101. Labels: History of Oil. NY, United States.

5

Scarce Whales: The 4% Rule: Oil above US$80 Equals Recession

http://scarcewhales.blogspot.com/2009/07/us1000-per-barrel.html

Sunday, July 19, 2009. The 4% Rule: Oil above US$80 Equals Recession. WTI Crude at the time of writing is US$64/barrel). Oil above US$80 per barrel puts the world into an economic death zone. As was evidenced in 2008, brief spikes above US$80 per barrel are possible but not for more than 6 months. Historically, the longer oil prices stayed above the economic death zone level the more severe the following recession. Oil consumption grows predictably. When oil spending is below 4% of GDP. If we hold income...

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morgandowney.com morgandowney.com

Morgan Downey

http://www.morgandowney.com/about.html

Morgan Downey is a commodities trader based in New York. In addition to the Americas, Morgan Downey has spent many years trading commodities while living in Australia, Asia and Europe.

great2cents.blogspot.com great2cents.blogspot.com

Great Two Cents: Margins

http://great2cents.blogspot.com/2012/04/margins.html

Great two cents on Economics, Finance and Investing. Sunday, April 1, 2012. Has a very interesting chart showing margins and subsquent 5 year earnings growth. Usually the higher the margins the lower the subsequent growth in earnings. The most recent data show however that earnings have kept growing though margins were already very high. Buttonwood. Here is a chart showing gross domestic investment and gdp indexed to 100 in December 2007. Investment has not yet recovered but it is catching up.

great2cents.blogspot.com great2cents.blogspot.com

Great Two Cents: February 2012

http://great2cents.blogspot.com/2012_02_01_archive.html

Great two cents on Economics, Finance and Investing. Friday, February 24, 2012. A nice little video. On Chinese migration from the economist. Wednesday, February 15, 2012. A very intersting chart from EconomPic. Comparing current market yield and 5 year forward returns. With an index duraion of roughly 5 in the us both data sets track each other closely. Monday, February 6, 2012. Emerging Market Debt USD:. Emerging Market Debt LC:. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Brad DeLong's Semi-Daily Journal.

great2cents.blogspot.com great2cents.blogspot.com

Great Two Cents: August 2012

http://great2cents.blogspot.com/2012_08_01_archive.html

Great two cents on Economics, Finance and Investing. Sunday, August 12, 2012. What's the middle class? On the difficulties of defining the middle class. Here is Brazil's according to different sources:. Using 10$ to 50$ PPP income per day here is how they look for different countries:. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Whats the middle class? Brad DeLong's Semi-Daily Journal. There was an error in this gadget. Home Price to Income. View my complete profile. Subscribe To Great Two Cents.

great2cents.blogspot.com great2cents.blogspot.com

Great Two Cents: Margins

http://great2cents.blogspot.com/2012/05/margins.html

Great two cents on Economics, Finance and Investing. Tuesday, May 1, 2012. James Montier at GMO has an interesting white paper. On margins arguing that "what goes up must come down". Starting from the the equation that income=expenditures and decomposing each side further he comes to the following defintion of profits:. Profits = Investment – Household Savings – Government Savings – Foreign Savings Dividends. Watch those margins when budget deficit reduction measures are implemented. Home Price to Income.

great2cents.blogspot.com great2cents.blogspot.com

Great Two Cents: What's the middle class?

http://great2cents.blogspot.com/2012/08/whats-middle-class.html

Great two cents on Economics, Finance and Investing. Sunday, August 12, 2012. What's the middle class? On the difficulties of defining the middle class. Here is Brazil's according to different sources:. Using 10$ to 50$ PPP income per day here is how they look for different countries:. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). Whats the middle class? Brad DeLong's Semi-Daily Journal. There was an error in this gadget. Home Price to Income. View my complete profile. Subscribe To Great Two Cents.

great2cents.blogspot.com great2cents.blogspot.com

Great Two Cents: Bull Market Ahead?

http://great2cents.blogspot.com/2013/02/bull-market-ahead.html

Great two cents on Economics, Finance and Investing. Tuesday, February 19, 2013. After the run we've witnessed in equity markets since March 2009 Dr. Hussman provides a verty interesting market commentary. Where he explains: "Simply put, secular bull markets begin at valuations that are associated with subsequent 10-year market returns near 20% annually. By contrast, secular bear markets begin at valuations like we observe at present.". Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). Brad DeLong's Semi-Daily Journal.

earlywarn.blogspot.com earlywarn.blogspot.com

Early Warning: Peak Oil is not Synchronous

http://earlywarn.blogspot.com/2011/06/peak-oil-is-not-synchronous.html

Rational Analysis of Global Civilizational Risk. Tuesday, June 28, 2011. Peak Oil is not Synchronous. This morning, I took the oil consumption page of the BP spreadsheet. And applied a mechanical test to each country: was 2010 the highest year of consumption over the range 1990-2010? If this is true, let's call the country an "advancer", and if not, let's call it a "decliner". Here are all the advancers:. If we look at the countries where 2010 was not the highest consumption, in the aggregate we get this:.

great2cents.blogspot.com great2cents.blogspot.com

Great Two Cents: May 2012

http://great2cents.blogspot.com/2012_05_01_archive.html

Great two cents on Economics, Finance and Investing. Tuesday, May 1, 2012. James Montier at GMO has an interesting white paper. On margins arguing that "what goes up must come down". Starting from the the equation that income=expenditures and decomposing each side further he comes to the following defintion of profits:. Profits = Investment – Household Savings – Government Savings – Foreign Savings Dividends. Watch those margins when budget deficit reduction measures are implemented. Home Price to Income.

peakoilproof.com peakoilproof.com

Peak Oil Proof Your Portfolio: July 2013

http://www.peakoilproof.com/2013_07_01_archive.html

Peak Oil Proof Your Portfolio. Protecting investments and making profit as we enter a post-peak-oil world. Monday, July 22, 2013. Global Oil Dashboard - Q2 2013. Here is the second installment of the of the "global oil dashboard" for Q2 2013. I created this tool to help me track the key quantitative indicators of peak oil. Oil is a finite resource and peak oil will happen eventually. Because some experts, such as the Energy Watch Group, believe that peak oil is happening right now. Russia Q2 2013 News.

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scarcewhales.blogspot.com scarcewhales.blogspot.com

Scarce Whales

Tuesday, November 4, 2014. Saudis Eat American Oil's Lunch. Above is a photo I took in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia]. The 12 members of OPEC are Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela. Although there are 12 members, only one counts: Saudi Arabia. There hasn't been a formal OPEC cut since December 2008. OPEC's individual member quota system was finally scrapped in December 2011. In effect, OPEC is dead. What the oil market cares ab...

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Scarce Words by Vain – "Where words are scarce, they are seldom spent in vain"

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Cycles Scarcez - Vente en ligne de vélos et accessoires cyclistes - Cycles Scarcez

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