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Over the Barrel

Thursday, 2 February 2012. Finding values in calmness. A rather short post today as SFOT tries to refocus his thoughts on the several forces impacting oil complex this year. So, crude prices has been relatively dull of late. This favours option sellers collecting theta and small intraday trading, hardly sufficient to fill up a day of work. Would SFOT join the crowd in collecting theta? Probably not at such low volatility levels as risk reward isn't that great. Dec 12 Wti-Brent spread. Links to this post.

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Over the Barrel | sfot-otb.blogspot.com Reviews

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Thursday, 2 February 2012. Finding values in calmness. A rather short post today as SFOT tries to refocus his thoughts on the several forces impacting oil complex this year. So, crude prices has been relatively dull of late. This favours option sellers collecting theta and small intraday trading, hardly sufficient to fill up a day of work. Would SFOT join the crowd in collecting theta? Probably not at such low volatility levels as risk reward isn't that great. Dec 12 Wti-Brent spread. Links to this post.

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Over the Barrel | sfot-otb.blogspot.com Reviews

https://sfot-otb.blogspot.com

Thursday, 2 February 2012. Finding values in calmness. A rather short post today as SFOT tries to refocus his thoughts on the several forces impacting oil complex this year. So, crude prices has been relatively dull of late. This favours option sellers collecting theta and small intraday trading, hardly sufficient to fill up a day of work. Would SFOT join the crowd in collecting theta? Probably not at such low volatility levels as risk reward isn't that great. Dec 12 Wti-Brent spread. Links to this post.

INTERNAL PAGES

sfot-otb.blogspot.com

1

Over the Barrel: Back in the Hunt

http://sfot-otb.blogspot.com/2010/04/back-in-hunt.html

Thursday, 8 April 2010. Back in the Hunt. 2) Crack spreads in middle distillate have performed extremely well this past week, having been an under performer for the most part of this year and all of last year. What is driving this sudden outperformance of middle distillates? 12 April 2010 at 12:41. Welcome back. Another point to note is the sub-30 30sh impl vols we have now pretty much all of cal10 in wti. CLo1 at 26%,then. 12 April 2010 at 14:08. SFOT back from hibernation, good stuff! Anon@ 14.08: ...

2

Over the Barrel: June 2009

http://sfot-otb.blogspot.com/2009_06_01_archive.html

Wednesday, 24 June 2009. Bearish API crushes cracks while crude holds due weak USD. Japanese trade data overnight continues to prove ugly, with exports down more than forecast @ -40.9% YoY. China's role to save the world isn't working much, innit? Links to this post. Tuesday, 23 June 2009. FOMC meeting holding back risk taking.commodities not spared. Links to this post. Monday, 22 June 2009. On the way down. Links to this post. Friday, 19 June 2009. Potential double top or anothe leg up? Friday, 12 June ...

3

Over the Barrel: May 2009

http://sfot-otb.blogspot.com/2009_05_01_archive.html

Friday, 29 May 2009. A buying frenzy, driven by interest rates? Chart 1 = typical gasoline demand pattern in a calendar year, chart 2 = YTD). Links to this post. Thursday, 28 May 2009. Crude technicals and continued Jet strength. Or will profit taking come in during the afternoon post DOE? Or perhaps a cross of the 200-day moving average is now playing on everyone's mind and encouraging inflows into WTI financials? Links to this post. Wednesday, 27 May 2009. SFOT has dipped into a small long. In the GBP/...

4

Over the Barrel: April 2009

http://sfot-otb.blogspot.com/2009_04_01_archive.html

Friday, 17 April 2009. WTI contract expiry and Gold weakness. Gasoline cracks in the US has been the star recently and readers will know this is one trade SFOT likes to have on, either on its own or vs Jet cracks /other middle distillates. The situation has not changed, and a buy on dip strategy will be applied in this trade. Links to this post. Thursday, 16 April 2009. Sideway trading in distillates while Arsenal takes off. Distillate yield on crude. 2nd month Ice gasoil crack. Links to this post. That ...

5

Over the Barrel: March 2009

http://sfot-otb.blogspot.com/2009_03_01_archive.html

Tuesday, 31 March 2009. This time of the year in the US. Perhaps the weakening flat price in the past few days have induced end users to come out and hedge their exposure. He is tempted to add one more and a last unit to his short in the front end crack but shall wait for further data in the form of API/DOE tomorrow. Distillate implied demand: short term spike or real recovery? Links to this post. Monday, 30 March 2009. Financial markets and quarter end. Links to this post. Friday, 27 March 2009. Links t...

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Over the Barrel

Thursday, 2 February 2012. Finding values in calmness. A rather short post today as SFOT tries to refocus his thoughts on the several forces impacting oil complex this year. So, crude prices has been relatively dull of late. This favours option sellers collecting theta and small intraday trading, hardly sufficient to fill up a day of work. Would SFOT join the crowd in collecting theta? Probably not at such low volatility levels as risk reward isn't that great. Dec 12 Wti-Brent spread. Links to this post.

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