mcw.wordpress.fos.auckland.ac.nz
Filling a much-needed gap
http://mcw.wordpress.fos.auckland.ac.nz/page/2
Filling a much-needed gap. All the views I see fit to print, by Mark C. Wilson. Information for research students. Predicting the 2015 Canadian election. October 11th, 2015. Mark C. Wilson. Based on the aggregate poll at signal.thestar.com. These two models predict the following point estimates for the seat distributions (after scaling up to account for the increase in parliament size since 2011):. Multiplicative: CON 133 NDP 71 LIB 125 BQ 7 GRE 1. Additive: CON 145 NDP 85 LIB 101 BQ 6 GRE 1. By Skyler C...
cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com
Canadian Election Watch: It's the Economy, Stupid! (and why the NDP should stop defending its 1990s economic record)
http://cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com/2013/06/its-economy-stupid-and-why-ndp-should.html
Seat projections by a British Columbian and former Quebecer. Occasional random observations about federal, foreign and BC/Québec politics. Monday, June 10, 2013. It's the Economy, Stupid! And why the NDP should stop defending its 1990s economic record). Much has been written about the gap between the last BC election polls and the actual results. But that was only half of the stunning BC Liberal comeback. The remainder happened in plain view. 1 Adrian Dix's flip flop on Kinder Morgan. BC's population gre...
cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com
Canadian Election Watch: BCTF vs. BC Liberals: Whose Proposal is Best for B.C.?
http://cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com/2014/08/bctf-vs-bc-liberals-whose-proposal-is.html
Seat projections by a British Columbian and former Quebecer. Occasional random observations about federal, foreign and BC/Québec politics. Wednesday, August 27, 2014. BCTF vs. BC Liberals: Whose Proposal is Best for B.C? The school year is supposed to start next week in BC, but the labour dispute between teachers and the government has not yet been resolved. Here are my two cents on the issue. However, the real difference between the parties is on the issue of class size. Even if BC students' academic pe...
cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com
Canadian Election Watch: Big Win for BC Liberal Government
http://cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com/2014/09/big-win-for-bc-liberal-government.html
Seat projections by a British Columbian and former Quebecer. Occasional random observations about federal, foreign and BC/Québec politics. Wednesday, September 17, 2014. Big Win for BC Liberal Government. The full details of the tentative agreement between BCTF and the government have not been divulged, but based on what we know, my sense is that:. The government got the upper hand on all major issues: salary, signing bonus/grievances, and class size and composition;. Year 3: no increase = $84 M. Year 5:...
cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com
Canadian Election Watch: April 2014
http://cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com/2014_04_01_archive.html
Seat projections by a British Columbian and former Quebecer. Occasional random observations about federal, foreign and BC/Québec politics. Tuesday, April 8, 2014. Québec 2014: CAQ Vote Efficiency Up From 2012. The complete preliminary results are in:. LIB - 70 (41.5%). PQ - 30 (25.4%). CAQ - 22 (23.1%). QS - 3 (7.6%). Taken together, the increased efficiency of the CAQ vote was worth a whopping 6% to the party! How about the Liberal/PQ vote efficiency? Sunday, April 6, 2014. Léger: 4/2-3, sample size 1220.
mcw.wordpress.fos.auckland.ac.nz
Filling a much-needed gap » Opinion
http://mcw.wordpress.fos.auckland.ac.nz/category/opinion
Filling a much-needed gap. All the views I see fit to print, by Mark C. Wilson. Information for research students. Archive for the ‘Opinion’ Category. Predicting the 2015 Canadian election. October 11th, 2015. Mark C. Wilson. Based on the aggregate poll at signal.thestar.com. These two models predict the following point estimates for the seat distributions (after scaling up to account for the increase in parliament size since 2011):. Multiplicative: CON 133 NDP 71 LIB 125 BQ 7 GRE 1. November 26th, 2014.
cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com
Canadian Election Watch: BCTF vs. BC Liberals: How Far Apart Are They?
http://cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com/2014/08/bctf-vs-bc-liberals-how-far-apart-are.html
Seat projections by a British Columbian and former Quebecer. Occasional random observations about federal, foreign and BC/Québec politics. Sunday, August 31, 2014. BCTF vs. BC Liberals: How Far Apart Are They? As reported by the Vancouver Sun. Based the following documents by the BCTF. The math works out as follows:. Current total compensation: The government states that an increase of $335.8 million would correspond to a 11.2% increase. This implies a current base of $2.998 billion. Difference between B...
predictionmarkets.ca
Sauder School of Business Prediction Markets
http://www.predictionmarkets.ca/CA15.php
Sauder School of Business. Canadian Federal Election 2015. Election Date: Monday, October 19, 2015. The election is over. Markets are closed. Final Predictions, Election Day, October 19, 2015. Trading Statistics for the Final Day of Trading, October 18, 2015. Legislative Seats Share Market. Popular Vote Share Market. Updated Monday, November 9, 2015). All four markets for the Canadian federal election 2015 have now been liquidated. Five judicial recounts. How did we do? Put the probaility of a Liberal ma...
cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com
Canadian Election Watch: Redistribution 2012: How Many Seats Each Province Should Have Gotten
http://cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com/2013/09/redistribution-2012-how-many-seats-each.html
Seat projections by a British Columbian and former Quebecer. Occasional random observations about federal, foreign and BC/Québec politics. Thursday, September 26, 2013. Redistribution 2012: How Many Seats Each Province Should Have Gotten. Today, Statistics Canada published revised population estimates that incorporate data from the 2011 Census. Using the revised population estimates for July 2011 and applying the legislated formula, we see that:. Ontario and BC should each have gotten one fewer seat;.
cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com
Canadian Election Watch: BCTF vs. BC Liberals: Why Neither Side Has Been Reasonable So Far
http://cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.com/2014/09/bctf-vs-bc-liberals-why-neither-side.html
Seat projections by a British Columbian and former Quebecer. Occasional random observations about federal, foreign and BC/Québec politics. Monday, September 15, 2014. BCTF vs. BC Liberals: Why Neither Side Has Been Reasonable So Far. The court ruled that the teachers have a right to bargain over class size and composition. The government's interpretation of "bargain"? Accept our offer, which merely asserts the current illegally imposed language.". And in fact explicitly expressed an expectation that clas...
SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT