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Fade The TradeUsing Options and Probability to Profit from Today's Market
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Fade The Trade | fadethetrade.blogspot.com Reviews
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Using Options and Probability to Profit from Today's Market
fadethetrade.blogspot.com
Fade The Trade: Trading Grains (Part 3): The Box Play
http://fadethetrade.blogspot.com/2011/06/trading-grains-part-3-box-play.html
Using Options and Probability to Profit from Today's Market. Saturday, June 25, 2011. Trading Grains (Part 3): The Box Play. In my previous post on grains. I talked about limit moves and how to play them. In Part 3 of this series on trading the grains let's take a look at The First Half Hour Range. And how to capitalize on this momentum trade using the Box Play. You can enter this trade in a few ways:. Here are a few examples of the Box Play in corn and soybeans. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). The G...
Fade The Trade: Ratio & Back Spreads
http://fadethetrade.blogspot.com/2012/08/ratio-back-spreads.html
Using Options and Probability to Profit from Today's Market. Sunday, August 19, 2012. Ratio and Back Spreads. Short 1 XYZ Sep 50 call @ $2.00, Long 2 XYZ Sep 60 calls @ $0.75. Long 1 XYZ Sep 50 call @ $2.00, Short 2 XYZ Sep 60 calls @ $0.75. Short 1 XYZ Sep 50 put @ $1.00, Long 2 XYZ Sep 40 puts @ $0.50. Long 1 XYZ Sep 50 put @ $1.00, Short 2 XYZ Sep 40 puts @ $0.50. Assessing risk in ratio spreads and back spreads through ratio analysis. Use as shallow a ratio as possible. Be sure that a large move in t...
Fade The Trade: August 2012
http://fadethetrade.blogspot.com/2012_08_01_archive.html
Using Options and Probability to Profit from Today's Market. Sunday, August 19, 2012. Volatile Limited Risk Option Plays. Long Straddle / Long Strangle. Long call and long put at same strike (straddle) or different strikes (strangle) at same expiration. Unlimited profit potential to upside and downside. Loss limited to the cost of the straddle or strangle. Break-even points are the strike plus and minus the value of the straddle, or high strike plus and lower strike minus the value of the strangle. For a...
Fade The Trade: How I Trade The Trend
http://fadethetrade.blogspot.com/2011/06/how-i-trade-trend.html
Using Options and Probability to Profit from Today's Market. Wednesday, June 1, 2011. How I Trade The Trend. I day trade the grain futures, specifically corn; and I swing trade options on big liquid momo stocks such as AAPL. So what's my trading strategy? For anyone trying to make this a career. Anyway, how do I use these indicators to develop a trading strategy? Simple as 1, 2, 3. All of these TTM indicators are available for free on ToS under studies. 3 Arrow three shows my last confirmation of the TTM...
Fade The Trade: Straddles & Strangles
http://fadethetrade.blogspot.com/2012/08/straddles-strangles.html
Using Options and Probability to Profit from Today's Market. Sunday, August 19, 2012. Long 1 XYZ Sep 50 call @ $2.00, Long 1 XYZ Sep 50 put @ $1.75. Option Premium Paid, $375. Option Premium Paid, $375. Short 1 XYZ Sep 50 call @ $2.00, Short 1 XYZ Sep 50 put @ $1.75. Net option premium received, $375. Net option premium received, $375. Long 1 XYZ Sep 40 put @ $1.00, Long 1 XYZ Sep 60 call @ $.75. Option Premium Paid, $175. Option Premium Paid, $175. Net option premium received, $175. If you can understan...
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@jaykza: Commodity Run Coming?
http://jaykza.blogspot.com/2013/01/commodity-run-coming.html
Personal thoughts on commodity and equity markets and whatever other random things come to mind. Sunday, January 13, 2013. Long time no post! Looking at some charts of the commodities, I believe the past year or so action has been quite constructive and we are setting up for some larger moves across the board. Disclosure: Currently long 21 calls expiring in March and April. Copper (HG), as well, broke its multi-year upchannel late in 2010 and since has been moving sideways into a symmetric triangle. ...
@jaykza: January 2012
http://jaykza.blogspot.com/2012_01_01_archive.html
Personal thoughts on commodity and equity markets and whatever other random things come to mind. Sunday, January 15, 2012. Crude Oil (CL) Weekly Outlook/Strategy (01/15/12 - 01/20/12). Towards the end of this week we saw an awesome intraday reversal, with a great trade to be had on Friday. The thinking is that we will be back into "sell the rips" mode from here. Chikou has fallen below prior price and tenkan-sen is now heading lower. I will re-emphasize the importance, in my opinion, of that 97.5...The 4...
@jaykza: May 2012
http://jaykza.blogspot.com/2012_05_01_archive.html
Personal thoughts on commodity and equity markets and whatever other random things come to mind. Thursday, May 17, 2012. Wheat: 'Cereal' Underperformer No More. For those that follow the grain markets, I'm sure you must be aware of Wheat's relative underperformance to corn and beans over the better part of the past 2 years. I believe this may be coming to an end, as it appears some serious buying has entered the picture and the technicals speak well to its future prospects. The daily chart gives us a cle...
@jaykza: January 2013
http://jaykza.blogspot.com/2013_01_01_archive.html
Personal thoughts on commodity and equity markets and whatever other random things come to mind. Sunday, January 13, 2013. Long time no post! Looking at some charts of the commodities, I believe the past year or so action has been quite constructive and we are setting up for some larger moves across the board. Disclosure: Currently long 21 calls expiring in March and April. Copper (HG), as well, broke its multi-year upchannel late in 2010 and since has been moving sideways into a symmetric triangle. ...
@jaykza: February 2013
http://jaykza.blogspot.com/2013_02_01_archive.html
Personal thoughts on commodity and equity markets and whatever other random things come to mind. Thursday, February 14, 2013. British Pound Major Breakdown. From an ichimoku perspective, the chikou span has cleared beneath prior price as well as the tenkan-sen. Price itself has broken below the cloud and will the cloud will quickly flip bearish if a downward move continues. The triangle price objective measures down to the 1.25 area. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). View my complete profile.
@jaykza: British Pound Major Breakdown
http://jaykza.blogspot.com/2013/02/british-pound-major-breakdown.html
Personal thoughts on commodity and equity markets and whatever other random things come to mind. Thursday, February 14, 2013. British Pound Major Breakdown. From an ichimoku perspective, the chikou span has cleared beneath prior price as well as the tenkan-sen. Price itself has broken below the cloud and will the cloud will quickly flip bearish if a downward move continues. The triangle price objective measures down to the 1.25 area. View my complete profile. British Pound Major Breakdown.
@jaykza: December 2011
http://jaykza.blogspot.com/2011_12_01_archive.html
Personal thoughts on commodity and equity markets and whatever other random things come to mind. Monday, December 26, 2011. Crude Oil (CL) Weekly Outlook/Strategy (12/25/11 - 12/30/11). I hope everyone had a very Merry Christmas with their loved ones! We managed a very strong bounce off of a support confluence. The bottom of our kumo as well as the all-important 30-wk MA, resulted in a move that wiped out the prior weeks' fall. We can see very clearly the channel that has developed. We are currently ...
@jaykza: Wheat: 'Cereal' Underperformer No More
http://jaykza.blogspot.com/2012/05/wheat-cereal-underperformer-no-more.html
Personal thoughts on commodity and equity markets and whatever other random things come to mind. Thursday, May 17, 2012. Wheat: 'Cereal' Underperformer No More. For those that follow the grain markets, I'm sure you must be aware of Wheat's relative underperformance to corn and beans over the better part of the past 2 years. I believe this may be coming to an end, as it appears some serious buying has entered the picture and the technicals speak well to its future prospects. The daily chart gives us a cle...
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fadetheprompt | two girls cooking without recipes
Two girls cooking without recipes. We Were Going to Make Pasta Sauce. January 4, 2014. December was pasta sauce month. December is over. We missed it. December is busy. Holidays, family, snow shoveling; it all really starts to add up. Perfecting sauce just was not in the cards. I did make one sauce. It was at the beginning of the month. I used fresh tomatoes and do not remember what else I did. The sauce was fine, but it did not have the depth of flavor I am searching for. And I used this guide. I filled...
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Fade The Trade
Using Options and Probability to Profit from Today's Market. Sunday, August 19, 2012. Volatile Limited Risk Option Plays. Long Straddle / Long Strangle. Long call and long put at same strike (straddle) or different strikes (strangle) at same expiration. Unlimited profit potential to upside and downside. Loss limited to the cost of the straddle or strangle. Break-even points are the strike plus and minus the value of the straddle, or high strike plus and lower strike minus the value of the strangle. For a...
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